Language:English
Tudelano v Zaragoza
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tudelano (Local)
Prediction 17.42%5.74fair odd
EV +1.01%
Edge +0.174%
Kelly +0.210%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 5.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.99%17.15%17.53%18.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.245.255.8020.00%19.08%19.05%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zaragoza (Visit)
Prediction 58.26%1.72fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -5.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.05%58.61%58.06%62.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.561.571.6571.43%63.92%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.32%4.11fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -0.677%
Kelly -0.902%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.89%24.24%24.42%25.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.843.854.0028.57%26.04%25.97%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tudelano (Local): 17.42%; Zaragoza (Visit): 58.26%; Draw: 24.32%. For Tudelano (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 14.99%EV +1.01%E +0.174%K +0.210%G +0.002% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.12%EV -18.43%E -13.17%K -46.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.89%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -0.732%E -0.128%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.59%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-27 19:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -4.22%E -0.766%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -4.22%E -0.766%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -9.69%E -6.25%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -4.22%E -0.766%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -9.69%E -6.25%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-27 19:43 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.42%EV -6.48%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.49%EV -7.09%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -7.70%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.04%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-27 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -8.57%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.56%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -8.57%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -8.57%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -2.71%E -0.677%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-27 19:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -8.57%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -8.57%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -2.71%E -0.677%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-27 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -8.57%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -2.71%E -0.677%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-27 19:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -8.57%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -2.71%E -0.677%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-27 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -8.57%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -2.71%E -0.677%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-27 19:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -8.57%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.72%EV -9.69%E -6.25%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-27 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -11.18%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.11%EV -10.28%E -6.67%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -3.92%E -0.993%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-27 19:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -2.71%E -0.677%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-27 19:38 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-27 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-27 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-27 19:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.55%EV -10.28%E -6.67%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -6.36%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-27 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -10.86%E -7.10%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -6.36%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-27 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -10.86%E -7.10%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -6.36%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-27 19:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -12.92%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.05%EV -9.69%E -6.25%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -14.87%E -4.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-27 19:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.35% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-10-27 19:50 |