Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tarancón v Levante

2026-10-28 18:00 UTC — Copa del Rey

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tarancón (Local)

Prediction 4.86%20.59fair odd
EV +40.85%
Edge +1.41%
Kelly +1.46%
Growth +0.596%

assuming max odds 29.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.28%5.15%4.91%7.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.2520.6919.5029.008.89%4.83%5.13%3.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Levante (Visit)

Prediction 85.16%1.17fair odd
EV -5.48%
Edge -4.93%
Kelly -49.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.00%84.77%84.99%89.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.081.071.1196.15%93.00%93.46%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 9.99%10.01fair odd
EV +29.84%
Edge +2.30%
Kelly +2.49%
Growth +0.742%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.27%10.08%10.10%12.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.1210.0811.0013.0014.04%9.92%9.09%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tarancón (Local): 4.86%; Levante (Visit): 85.16%; Draw: 9.99%. For Tarancón (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 20.59. 8 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 29.00, producing a positive expected value of +40.85%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV +26.28%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.276%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.10%EV -9.74%E -9.18%K -162.25%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +29.84%E +2.30%K +2.49%G +0.742%5.9%2026-10-27 20:09
Paddy Power🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.28%EV +40.85%E +1.41%K +1.46%G +0.596%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.80%EV -8.88%E -8.30%K -126.91%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +19.85%E +1.65%K +1.80%G +0.358%5.2%2026-10-27 20:05
SportsBet🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV +26.28%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.276%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.17%EV -8.88%E -8.30%K -126.91%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +14.86%E +1.29%K +1.42%G +0.210%6.0%2026-10-27 20:10
BetMGM🎯19.50I 5.13%NM 4.92%EV -5.29%E -0.271%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.37%EV -5.48%E -4.93%K -49.79%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.72%EV +9.86%E +0.897%K +0.986%G +0.097%4.3%2026-10-27 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.04%EV -7.72%E -0.406%K -0.429%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.26%EV -5.48%E -4.93%K -49.79%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV +9.86%E +0.897%K +0.986%G +0.097%4.4%2026-10-27 20:40
Coral🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.04%EV -7.72%E -0.406%K -0.429%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.26%EV -5.48%E -4.93%K -49.79%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV +9.86%E +0.897%K +0.986%G +0.097%4.4%2026-10-27 20:40
888sport🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.00%EV +11.71%E +0.509%K +0.532%G +0.062%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.63%EV -10.59%E -10.08%K -211.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV +9.86%E +0.897%K +0.986%G +0.097%8.7%2026-10-27 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.00%EV +11.71%E +0.509%K +0.532%G +0.062%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.63%EV -10.59%E -10.08%K -211.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV +9.86%E +0.897%K +0.986%G +0.097%8.7%2026-10-27 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.00%EV +11.71%E +0.509%K +0.532%G +0.062%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.63%EV -10.59%E -10.08%K -211.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV +9.86%E +0.897%K +0.986%G +0.097%8.7%2026-10-27 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV +2.00%E +0.095%K +0.100%G +0.002%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.36%EV -8.88%E -8.30%K -126.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -0.124%E -0.012%K -0.014%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-27 20:35
Winamax (DE)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.67%EV -22.29%E -1.39%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 84.78%EV -8.88%E -8.30%K -126.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -5.12%E -0.539%K -0.602%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-27 20:35
BoyleSports🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -7.72%E -0.406%K -0.429%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -8.88%E -8.30%K -126.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -10.11%E -1.12%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-27 20:13
betano_uk🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.80%EV -7.72%E -0.406%K -0.429%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 84.47%EV -8.03%E -7.44%K -100.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -15.11%E -1.78%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-27 20:38
Bet Victor🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV -12.58%E -0.699%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 84.24%EV -8.03%E -7.44%K -100.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -15.11%E -1.78%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-27 20:44
1xBet🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +11.71%E +0.509%K +0.532%G +0.062%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.83%EV -6.33%E -5.75%K -63.29%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.11%EV -16.10%E -1.92%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-27 20:45
Tipico (DE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.12%EV -17.43%E -1.03%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 83.72%EV -11.44%E -11.00%K -285.96%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.16%EV -22.10%E -2.83%K -3.25%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-27 20:35
Pinnacle🎯11.25I 8.89%NM 7.75%EV -45.36%E -4.03%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 80.00%EV -7.18%E -6.59%K -79.78%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 12.25%EV -28.89%E -4.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-27 20:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎19.50I 5.13%NM 4.99%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.65%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.36%2.7%2026-10-27 20:45