Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SD Amorebieta v UD Logroñés

2026-11-04 19:00 UTC — Copa del Rey

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

26%

48%

27%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SD Amorebieta (Local)

Prediction 25.61%3.91fair odd

EV -3.97%

Edge -1.06%

Kelly -1.44%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

24.05%25.61%25.31%26.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.303.523.403.7530.30%28.44%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UD Logroñés (Visit)

Prediction 47.70%2.10fair odd

EV -5.08%

Edge -2.55%

Kelly -5.13%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.61%47.53%48.03%51.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.761.901.901.9956.82%52.69%52.63%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.69%3.75fair odd

EV -2.57%

Edge -0.705%

Kelly -0.971%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

24.71%26.86%26.65%27.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.203.403.353.6531.25%29.42%29.85%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: SD Amorebieta (Local): 25.61%; UD Logroñés (Visit): 47.70%; Draw: 26.69%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.65, with an expected value of -2.57%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Coral🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -3.91%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-02 06:00
betano_uk🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -10.80%E -5.78%K -12.41%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-11-02 03:04
Bet Victor🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -10.80%E -5.78%K -12.41%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-11-02 05:08
Winamax (DE)🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 51.24%EV -16.05%E -9.12%K -21.11%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -2.57%E -0.705%K -0.971%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-11-02 05:29
BetMGM🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.91%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-02 05:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.91%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-02 05:50
1xBet🎯	3.62I 27.62%NM 25.83%EV -7.30%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25%NM 46.99%EV -5.08%E -2.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%	3.44I 29.07%NM 27.18%EV -8.18%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-02 03:35
Tipico (DE)🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -10.38%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -14.14%E -7.86%K -17.67%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -11.91%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%	14.4%	2026-11-02 06:10
Unibet🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.94%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 47.04%EV -9.37%E -4.93%K -10.41%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -10.58%E -3.16%K -4.50%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-11-02 05:40
Virgin Bet🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.94%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 47.04%EV -9.37%E -4.93%K -10.41%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -10.58%E -3.16%K -4.50%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-11-02 05:45
LiveScore Bet🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.94%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 47.04%EV -9.37%E -4.93%K -10.41%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -10.58%E -3.16%K -4.50%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-11-02 05:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.94%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 47.17%EV -9.85%E -5.21%K -11.06%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -10.58%E -3.16%K -4.50%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-11-02 05:44
Unibet (SE)🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.94%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 47.17%EV -9.85%E -5.21%K -11.06%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -10.58%E -3.16%K -4.50%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-11-02 05:45
Grosvenor🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.94%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 47.17%EV -9.85%E -5.21%K -11.06%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -10.58%E -3.16%K -4.50%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-11-02 05:50
ATG (SE)🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.94%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 47.17%EV -9.85%E -5.21%K -11.06%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -10.58%E -3.16%K -4.50%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-11-02 05:50
Svenska Spel🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.94%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 47.17%EV -9.85%E -5.21%K -11.06%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -10.58%E -3.16%K -4.50%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-11-02 05:50
betfred_uk🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -12.94%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 46.85%EV -9.37%E -4.93%K -10.41%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -11.91%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%	12.3%	2026-11-02 04:55
Pinnacle🎯	3.38I 29.59%NM 26.45%EV -13.45%E -3.98%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 45.61%EV -6.51%E -3.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -14.58%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-11-02 04:05
BoyleSports🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.50%E -4.70%K -6.74%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -8.89%E -4.66%K -9.77%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.91%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-11-02 02:44

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.