The School of Odds
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Reus FC Reddis v Barakaldo

2026-10-28 19:30 UTC — Copa del Rey

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Reus FC Reddis (Local)

Prediction 24.36%4.11fair odd
EV -7.20%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.55%24.51%24.26%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.743.753.8128.57%26.76%26.67%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barakaldo (Visit)

Prediction 48.06%2.08fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -3.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.67%47.93%48.13%49.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.931.952.0056.50%51.93%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.59%3.62fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -0.582%
Kelly -0.810%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.71%27.56%27.60%28.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.113.353.303.5532.15%29.81%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Reus FC Reddis (Local): 24.36%; Barakaldo (Visit): 48.06%; Draw: 27.59%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.55, with an expected value of -2.07%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.81I 26.25%NM 24.52%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -6.77%E -3.49%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.32%EV -5.65%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 18:09
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.92%EV -4.85%E -2.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.45%E -0.984%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-27 19:35
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.45%E -0.984%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 19:35
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.22%EV -4.37%E -2.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 18:10
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -3.89%E -1.94%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-27 18:10
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-27 20:50
betano_uk🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-27 23:05
Bet Victor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -8.69%E -4.57%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-28 00:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.66%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.45%E -0.984%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-27 19:35
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -8.66%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -12.06%E -6.59%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-27 18:25
Sky Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.88%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -3.45%E -0.984%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 19:38
888sport🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.88%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-27 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.88%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-27 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.88%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-27 19:40
William Hill🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.88%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-27 22:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -9.88%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.61%EV -11.58%E -6.29%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -2.07%E -0.582%K -0.810%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-28 00:55
Pinnacle🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.99%EV -9.88%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.47%EV -10.13%E -5.42%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 28.54%EV -14.20%E -4.57%K -6.73%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-27 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.55%EV -9.88%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.22%EV -14.94%E -8.44%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.23%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-27 21:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -14.75%E -4.22%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.89%E -1.94%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.45%E -0.984%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 22:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.64%4.2%2026-10-28 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.64%4.2%2026-10-28 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.64%4.2%2026-10-28 00:40