Language:English
Peña Sport v SD Huesca
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Peña Sport (Local)
Prediction 17.13%5.84fair odd
EV +2.77%
Edge +0.462%
Kelly +0.554%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.31%17.12%17.08%18.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.315.206.0020.41%18.83%19.23%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SD Huesca (Visit)
Prediction 59.39%1.68fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -4.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.37%59.24%59.43%63.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.541.541.6469.44%64.79%64.94%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.48%4.26fair odd
EV +3.31%
Edge +0.753%
Kelly +0.974%
Growth +0.032%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.88%23.64%23.50%25.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.893.914.4027.78%25.71%25.58%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peña Sport (Local): 17.13%; SD Huesca (Visit): 59.39%; Draw: 23.48%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.31%.
Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV +2.77%E +0.462%K +0.554%G +0.015% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -14.48%E -10.05%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV +3.31%E +0.753%K +0.974%G +0.032% | 8.8% | 2026-10-29 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -7.51%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -10.91%E -7.28%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-29 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-29 16:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV +2.77%E +0.462%K +0.554%G +0.015% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -9.73%E -6.40%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-29 16:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -10.93%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-29 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -10.93%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-29 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -10.93%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-29 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -10.93%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-29 16:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +2.77%E +0.462%K +0.554%G +0.015% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.91%E -7.28%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-29 16:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.91%E -7.28%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-29 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.93%EV -9.22%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.63%EV -12.10%E -8.18%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-29 16:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.94I 20.24%NM 18.97%EV -15.38%E -3.11%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.13%EV -2.60%E -1.58%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.90%EV -7.96%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-29 16:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -1.51%E -0.263%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -10.91%E -7.28%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-29 16:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -1.51%E -0.263%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -10.91%E -7.28%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-29 16:28 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -16.07%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.18%EV -7.94%E -5.12%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-29 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -16.07%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.15%EV -8.54%E -5.54%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -10.78%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-29 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -16.07%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.15%EV -8.54%E -5.54%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -10.78%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-29 16:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.08%EV -9.39%E -1.78%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.07%EV -9.13%E -5.97%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 23.85%EV -11.01%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-29 16:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -10.91%E -7.28%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-29 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -14.36%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -10.91%E -7.28%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-29 16:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -14.36%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -15.47%E -4.30%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-29 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -14.36%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -15.47%E -4.30%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-29 16:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -14.36%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -15.47%E -4.30%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-29 16:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -14.36%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -15.47%E -4.30%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-29 16:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-10-29 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-10-29 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78% | 2.1% | 2026-10-29 16:55 |