Language:English
Manresa v UE Sant Andreu
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Manresa (Local)
Prediction 29.54%3.39fair odd
EV -5.19%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.37%29.24%29.62%30.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.093.103.2134.48%32.41%32.26%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UE Sant Andreu (Visit)
Prediction 43.11%2.32fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -3.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.62%43.28%43.18%46.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.112.122.2352.63%47.34%47.17%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.35%3.66fair odd
EV +1.21%
Edge +0.326%
Kelly +0.447%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.28%27.48%27.19%29.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.183.443.453.7031.45%29.08%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Manresa (Local): 29.54%; UE Sant Andreu (Visit): 43.11%; Draw: 27.35%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.47%E -4.51%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV +1.21%E +0.326%K +0.447%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-10-27 19:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -8.61%E -4.06%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -1.53%E -0.425%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-27 19:02 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -8.61%E -4.06%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -1.53%E -0.425%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-27 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -8.61%E -4.06%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -1.53%E -0.425%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-27 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -8.61%E -4.06%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -1.53%E -0.425%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-27 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.16%E -2.34%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-27 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.16%E -2.34%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-27 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-27 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.96%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -8.61%E -4.06%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-27 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.47%E -4.51%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-27 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.95%EV -11.19%E -5.43%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-27 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.47%E -4.51%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-27 18:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.91%EV -11.62%E -5.67%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-27 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.81%EV -12.06%E -5.91%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-27 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.81%EV -12.06%E -5.91%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-27 19:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-27 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.47%E -4.51%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-27 19:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.12%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.99%EV -8.64%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-27 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.09%EV -18.09%E -9.52%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-27 19:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-27 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-27 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-27 19:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -14.34%E -4.95%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -11.62%E -5.67%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-27 19:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.19%EV -6.07%E -1.91%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.62%EV -3.86%E -1.73%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.19%EV -13.02%E -4.09%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-27 19:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.72% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.27% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02% | 2.0% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |