语言:简体中文
Llanera v SD Ponferradina
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Llanera (主队)
预测 19.96%5.01公平赔率
EV -3.01%
优势 -0.619%
Kelly -0.779%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.86
博彩公司预测分布
19.25%20.10%19.88%21.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.584.604.8623.81%21.84%21.74%20.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
SD Ponferradina (客队)
预测 54.30%1.84公平赔率
EV -6.07%
优势 -3.51%
Kelly -8.31%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.73
博彩公司预测分布
53.62%54.29%54.11%56.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.581.661.661.7363.29%60.16%60.24%57.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 25.75%3.88公平赔率
EV +5.56%
优势 +1.36%
Kelly +1.79%
增长率 +0.100%
假设最高赔率为 4.10
博彩公司预测分布
22.68%25.61%26.00%26.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.813.804.1028.57%26.26%26.32%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Llanera (主队)：19.96%；SD Ponferradina (客队)：54.30%；平局：25.75%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.88。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.10，对应+5.56%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -10.95%E -6.68%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV +5.56%E +1.36%K +1.79%G +0.100% | 7.1% | 2026-10-27 18:32 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -10.95%E -6.68%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV +5.56%E +1.36%K +1.79%G +0.100% | 7.1% | 2026-10-27 18:18 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -10.95%E -6.68%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV +5.56%E +1.36%K +1.79%G +0.100% | 7.1% | 2026-10-27 18:18 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -10.95%E -6.68%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV +5.56%E +1.36%K +1.79%G +0.100% | 7.1% | 2026-10-27 18:18 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -10.19%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -10.41%E -6.31%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV +2.98%E +0.746%K +0.995%G +0.030% | 7.8% | 2026-10-27 18:37 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -13.13%E -8.20%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV +2.98%E +0.746%K +0.995%G +0.030% | 10.2% | 2026-10-27 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -13.19%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.41%EV -13.13%E -8.20%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV +1.70%E +0.429%K +0.575%G +0.010% | 10.8% | 2026-10-27 18:18 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.60%EV -13.19%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.71%EV -14.21%E -8.99%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV +1.70%E +0.429%K +0.575%G +0.010% | 11.6% | 2026-10-27 18:18 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.60%EV -13.19%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.71%EV -14.21%E -8.99%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV +1.70%E +0.429%K +0.575%G +0.010% | 11.6% | 2026-10-27 18:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -4.20%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -9.87%E -5.94%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV +0.409%E +0.105%K +0.141%G +0.001% | 6.7% | 2026-10-27 17:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -4.20%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.08%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -2.17%E -0.570%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -7.15%E -4.18%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -2.17%E -0.570%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-27 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -2.17%E -0.570%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-27 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -9.32%E -5.58%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -2.17%E -0.570%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-27 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -10.95%E -6.68%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -2.17%E -0.570%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-27 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.25%EV -3.01%E -0.619%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.71%EV -6.28%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-27 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-27 18:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -9.32%E -5.58%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-27 18:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -16.18%E -3.85%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -12.04%E -7.43%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-27 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -7.20%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.43%EV -9.63%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-27 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-27 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-27 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-27 18:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.90% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.41% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.69% | 2.5% | 2026-10-27 18:55 |