預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Don Benito v Extremadura

開賽時間: 2026-10-27 19:30 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

23 家博彩公司 (5 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Don Benito (主隊)

預測 25.11%3.98公平賠率
EV -4.58%
優勢 -1.20%
Kelly -1.63%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.80

博彩公司預測分布
22.93%24.75%25.40%26.40%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.453.683.703.8028.99%27.19%27.03%26.32%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Extremadura (客隊)

預測 48.92%2.04公平賠率
EV -4.61%
優勢 -2.37%
Kelly -4.86%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.95

博彩公司預測分布
47.79%49.33%49.00%52.18%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.671.861.871.9559.88%53.88%53.48%51.28%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 25.97%3.85公平賠率
EV -1.30%
優勢 -0.343%
Kelly -0.465%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.80

博彩公司預測分布
24.62%25.92%25.59%26.85%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.403.513.403.8029.41%28.50%29.41%26.32%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Don Benito (主隊):25.11%;Extremadura (客隊):48.92%;和局:25.97%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於3.85的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為3.80,期望值為-1.30%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (23 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -4.58%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.50%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 17:20
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -4.58%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.50%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 17:35
Pinnacle🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -4.58%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.80%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.80%EV -10.13%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-27 19:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -4.58%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.18%EV -18.31%E -10.96%K -27.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-27 19:25
1xBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.68%EV -6.08%E -3.17%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.40%EV -8.06%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 17:30
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.61%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 18:50
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-27 18:50
Sky Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -1.30%E -0.343%K -0.465%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-27 18:37
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.47%EV -11.46%E -6.33%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-27 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.47%EV -11.46%E -6.33%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-27 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.47%EV -11.46%E -6.33%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-27 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.47%EV -11.46%E -6.33%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-27 18:45
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.47%EV -11.46%E -6.33%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-27 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.47%EV -11.46%E -6.33%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-27 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.47%EV -11.46%E -6.33%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-27 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.47%EV -11.46%E -6.33%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-27 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.61%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-27 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.04%E -4.28%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.50%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-27 19:15
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-27 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-27 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-27 18:50
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -14.40%E -8.23%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-27 19:24
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -13.37%E -3.87%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -9.02%E -4.85%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-27 18:40
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.48%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.91%1.6%2026-10-27 19:25