Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

CDA Navalcarnero v Real Betis

2026-10-28 20:00 UTC — Copa del Rey

Testa a testa

25 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

CDA Navalcarnero (Casa)

Previsione 5.41%18.48quota equa
EV +8.23%
Vantaggio +0.412%
Kelly +0.433%
Crescita +0.036%

ipotizzando la quota massima 20.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
4.72%5.60%5.45%7.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
11.8815.7017.0020.008.42%6.37%5.88%5.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Real Betis (Trasferta)

Previsione 84.71%1.18quota equa
EV -4.27%
Vantaggio -3.78%
Kelly -32.86%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
82.14%84.74%84.69%86.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.011.101.101.1399.01%91.31%90.91%88.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 9.87%10.13quota equa
EV +18.48%
Vantaggio +1.54%
Kelly +1.68%
Crescita +0.311%

ipotizzando la quota massima 12.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.93%9.66%9.86%10.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
8.509.309.0012.0011.76%10.75%11.11%8.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: CDA Navalcarnero (Casa): 5.41%; Real Betis (Trasferta): 84.71%; Pareggio: 9.87%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 10.13. 2 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 12.00, con un valore atteso positivo del +18.48%.

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Betway🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.60%EV -8.00%E -0.471%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.48%EV -6.81%E -6.19%K -68.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV +18.48%E +1.54%K +1.68%G +0.311%5.1%2026-10-28 04:05
Sky Bet🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV -2.59%E -0.144%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.34%EV -8.51%E -7.88%K -106.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV +8.61%E +0.783%K +0.861%G +0.074%7.2%2026-10-28 04:35
Coral🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.64%EV -8.00%E -0.471%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.78%EV -4.27%E -3.78%K -32.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -1.26%E -0.126%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-28 05:45
BetMGM🎯16.50I 6.06%NM 5.80%EV -10.71%E -0.649%K -0.691%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.64%EV -4.27%E -3.78%K -32.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.56%EV -1.26%E -0.126%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-28 05:45
Paddy Power🎯20.00I 5.00%NM 4.72%EV +8.23%E +0.412%K +0.433%G +0.036%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.84%EV -6.81%E -6.19%K -68.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -1.26%E -0.126%K -0.141%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-28 04:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV -18.83%E -1.26%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.12%E -4.57%K -42.66%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -1.26%E -0.126%K -0.141%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-28 05:44
Tipico (DE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.12%EV -8.00%E -0.471%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 86.18%EV -14.44%E -14.30%K -1443.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.70%EV -1.26%E -0.126%K -0.141%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-28 04:05
1xBet🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.17%EV -2.59%E -0.144%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.42%EV -7.66%E -7.03%K -85.12%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.41%EV -2.25%E -0.227%K -0.253%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-28 04:05
SportsBet🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV +2.82%E +0.148%K +0.157%G +0.004%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.66%E -7.03%K -85.12%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.56%EV -3.73%E -0.383%K -0.427%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-28 04:10
Codere (IT)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.92%EV +2.82%E +0.148%K +0.157%G +0.004%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -6.81%E -6.19%K -68.14%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.15%EV -9.16%E -0.996%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 05:15
Pinnacle🎯11.88I 8.42%NM 7.40%EV -35.71%E -3.01%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 82.95%EV -10.20%E -9.62%K -170.04%G +0.000%9.11I 10.98%NM 9.65%EV -10.05%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-28 04:05
888sport🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -8.00%E -0.471%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -5.97%E -5.38%K -54.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -11.14%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 04:04
888sport (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -8.00%E -0.471%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -5.97%E -5.38%K -54.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -11.14%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 04:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -8.00%E -0.471%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -5.97%E -5.38%K -54.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -11.14%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 04:04
Bet Victor🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.04%EV -2.59%E -0.144%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -9.36%E -8.74%K -133.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -11.14%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-28 05:49
betano_uk🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.04%EV -2.59%E -0.144%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -9.36%E -8.74%K -133.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -11.14%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-28 05:49
Unibet (UK)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -8.00%E -0.471%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.74%EV -6.81%E -6.19%K -68.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -16.07%E -1.89%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-28 05:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.23%EV -32.36%E -2.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.14%EV -6.81%E -6.19%K -68.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.63%EV -16.07%E -1.89%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-28 04:05
LiveScore Bet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.23%EV -32.36%E -2.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.14%EV -6.81%E -6.19%K -68.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.63%EV -16.07%E -1.89%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-28 04:05
Unibet (SE)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.23%EV -32.36%E -2.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.14%EV -6.81%E -6.19%K -68.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.63%EV -16.07%E -1.89%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-28 04:05
Virgin Bet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.23%EV -32.36%E -2.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.14%EV -6.81%E -6.19%K -68.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.63%EV -16.07%E -1.89%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-28 04:04
Grosvenor🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.23%EV -32.36%E -2.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.14%EV -6.81%E -6.19%K -68.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.63%EV -16.07%E -1.89%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-28 04:04
Unibet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.23%EV -32.36%E -2.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.14%EV -6.81%E -6.19%K -68.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.63%EV -16.07%E -1.89%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-28 04:04
ATG (SE)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.23%EV -32.36%E -2.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.14%EV -6.81%E -6.19%K -68.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.63%EV -16.07%E -1.89%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-28 04:05
Svenska Spel🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.23%EV -32.36%E -2.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.14%EV -6.81%E -6.19%K -68.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.63%EV -16.07%E -1.89%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-28 04:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.90%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.46%2.7%2026-10-28 05:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.90%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.46%2.7%2026-10-28 05:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎18.50I 5.41%NM 5.23%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.36%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.41%3.4%2026-10-28 05:25