Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

CD Pamplona v SD Eibar

2026-10-28 18:00 UTC — Copa del Rey

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CD Pamplona (Local)

Prediction 6.65%15.05fair odd
EV +3.01%
Edge +0.194%
Kelly +0.208%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 15.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.09%6.94%6.56%8.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0214.0715.0015.509.98%7.11%6.67%6.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SD Eibar (Visit)

Prediction 80.07%1.25fair odd
EV -5.52%
Edge -4.68%
Kelly -30.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.39%79.55%80.30%81.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.161.171.1891.74%86.51%85.47%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 13.29%7.53fair odd
EV -0.344%
Edge -0.046%
Kelly -0.053%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.11%13.51%13.14%15.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.787.007.5016.67%14.76%14.29%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: CD Pamplona (Local): 6.65%; SD Eibar (Visit): 80.07%; Draw: 13.29%. For CD Pamplona (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 15.05. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 15.50, producing a positive expected value of +3.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯15.50I 6.45%NM 6.14%EV +3.01%E +0.194%K +0.208%G +0.006%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.72%EV -5.52%E -4.68%K -30.67%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV -3.67%E -0.506%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -0.313%E -0.021%K -0.022%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.18%EV -5.52%E -4.68%K -30.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-27 18:40
Coral🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -0.313%E -0.021%K -0.022%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.18%EV -5.52%E -4.68%K -30.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-27 18:55
1xBet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -0.313%E -0.021%K -0.022%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.83%EV -6.32%E -5.40%K -37.19%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.94%EV -10.97%E -1.64%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 20:25
888sport🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV -0.313%E -0.021%K -0.022%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -5.52%E -4.68%K -30.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -20.28%E -3.38%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-27 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV -0.313%E -0.021%K -0.022%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -5.52%E -4.68%K -30.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -20.28%E -3.38%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-27 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV -0.313%E -0.021%K -0.022%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -5.52%E -4.68%K -30.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -20.28%E -3.38%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-27 18:55
betano_uk🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -0.313%E -0.021%K -0.022%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -9.52%E -8.43%K -73.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-27 18:09
Unibet (UK)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -0.313%E -0.021%K -0.022%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -9.52%E -8.43%K -73.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-27 20:30
Bet Victor🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -0.313%E -0.021%K -0.022%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -9.52%E -8.43%K -73.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-27 19:43
Winamax (DE)🎯13.50I 7.41%NM 6.78%EV -10.28%E -0.762%K -0.823%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.01%EV -9.52%E -8.43%K -73.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.21%EV -0.344%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-27 20:30
Betway🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -13.60%E -1.05%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -5.52%E -4.68%K -30.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -0.344%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 18:30
BoyleSports🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%EV -13.60%E -1.05%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.12%EV -7.92%E -6.89%K -52.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -20.28%E -3.38%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-27 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 7.92%EV -26.90%E -2.45%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 79.97%EV -12.73%E -11.68%K -141.41%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.11%EV -4.33%E -0.601%K -0.698%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-27 19:20
Pinnacle🎯10.02I 9.98%NM 8.88%EV -33.41%E -3.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 77.39%EV -7.92%E -6.89%K -52.82%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 13.73%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-27 20:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.