语言:简体中文
Castellonense v Almería
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Castellonense (主队)
预测 15.90%6.29公平赔率
EV -0.130%
优势 -0.021%
Kelly -0.025%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 6.28
博彩公司预测分布
14.88%15.93%15.90%16.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.405.905.926.2818.52%16.96%16.89%15.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
Almería (客队)
预测 61.75%1.62公平赔率
EV -5.52%
优势 -3.61%
Kelly -10.41%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.53
博彩公司预测分布
60.95%61.72%61.96%65.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.381.461.461.5372.46%68.47%68.49%65.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 22.34%4.48公平赔率
EV +7.25%
优势 +1.51%
Kelly +1.91%
增长率 +0.138%
假设最高赔率为 4.80
博彩公司预测分布
19.44%22.35%22.14%23.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.364.334.8026.32%22.95%23.09%20.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Castellonense (主队)：15.90%；Almería (客队)：61.75%；平局：22.34%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.48。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.80，对应+7.25%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -2.99%E -0.491%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.26%EV -11.69%E -8.18%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV +7.25%E +1.51%K +1.91%G +0.138% | 7.2% | 2026-10-27 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -2.99%E -0.491%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.26%EV -11.69%E -8.18%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV +7.25%E +1.51%K +1.91%G +0.138% | 7.2% | 2026-10-27 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -2.99%E -0.491%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.26%EV -11.69%E -8.18%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV +7.25%E +1.51%K +1.91%G +0.138% | 7.2% | 2026-10-27 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -2.99%E -0.491%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.26%EV -11.69%E -8.18%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV +7.25%E +1.51%K +1.91%G +0.138% | 7.2% | 2026-10-27 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -7.76%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -13.54%E -9.67%K -33.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV +2.78%E +0.604%K +0.772%G +0.021% | 10.4% | 2026-10-27 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -7.76%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -13.54%E -9.67%K -33.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV +2.78%E +0.604%K +0.772%G +0.021% | 10.4% | 2026-10-27 18:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.58%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -11.07%E -7.69%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV +0.545%E +0.121%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 8.3% | 2026-10-27 18:37 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.52%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.66%EV -14.78%E -10.71%K -38.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.83%EV +0.545%E +0.121%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 12.1% | 2026-10-27 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.52%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.66%EV -14.78%E -10.71%K -38.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.83%EV +0.545%E +0.121%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 12.1% | 2026-10-27 18:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.58%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -5.52%E -3.61%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -3.25%E -0.751%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-27 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.58%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -5.52%E -3.61%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -3.25%E -0.751%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-27 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.58%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.25%E -0.751%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-27 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -3.25%E -0.751%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-27 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -4.58%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -11.07%E -7.69%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -3.25%E -0.751%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-27 18:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -0.607%E -0.097%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.25%EV -8.60%E -5.81%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -3.92%E -0.912%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-27 18:17 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -14.12%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.12%EV -9.84%E -6.74%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV -3.92%E -0.912%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-27 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.92I 16.89%NM 15.64%EV -5.85%E -0.989%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.15%EV -7.99%E -5.36%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.21%EV -6.83%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-27 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.28I 15.92%NM 14.88%EV -0.130%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.32%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.39%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-27 18:18 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-27 18:18 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-27 18:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-27 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-27 18:18 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -12.53%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -11.07%E -7.69%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-27 18:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.86% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.29% | 2.0% | 2026-10-27 18:37 |