Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cádiz CF v Unionistas de Salamanca

2026-10-29 19:00 UTC — Copa del Rey

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cádiz CF (Local)

Prediction 31.63%3.16fair odd
EV -5.11%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -2.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.67%31.63%31.63%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.922.903.0035.71%34.25%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Unionistas de Salamanca (Visit)

Prediction 41.26%2.42fair odd
EV -5.11%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -3.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.67%41.26%41.26%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.292.302.3045.45%43.70%43.48%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.11%3.69fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.666%
Kelly -0.922%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.97%27.11%27.11%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.193.253.6034.48%31.37%30.77%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cádiz CF (Local): 31.63%; Unionistas de Salamanca (Visit): 41.26%; Draw: 27.11%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -2.40%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 07:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 07:10
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 07:10
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 07:15
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.69%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.46%E -1.87%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-29 07:09
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-29 07:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-29 07:09
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -21.38%E -7.37%K -11.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-29 07:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -21.38%E -7.37%K -11.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-29 07:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -21.38%E -7.37%K -11.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-29 07:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -21.38%E -7.37%K -11.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-29 07:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -21.38%E -7.37%K -11.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-29 07:09
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -21.38%E -7.37%K -11.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-29 07:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -21.38%E -7.37%K -11.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-29 07:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -21.38%E -7.37%K -11.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-29 07:10
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -8.90%E -3.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.40%E -0.666%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-29 07:10
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.23%E -4.20%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-29 07:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 30.85%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.18%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%4.6%2026-10-29 08:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 30.85%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.18%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%4.6%2026-10-29 08:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 30.85%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.18%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%4.6%2026-10-29 08:30