The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Cádiz CF v CE Europa

Kickoff: 2026-10-27 18:01 UTC

Final: Cádiz CF 0–3 CE Europa

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cádiz CF (Local)

Prediction 22.92%4.36fair odd
EV +0.826%
Edge +0.188%
Kelly +0.243%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.22%22.92%22.92%23.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.974.174.204.4025.19%24.00%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CE Europa (Visit)

Prediction 50.24%1.99fair odd
EV -5.04%
Edge -2.67%
Kelly -5.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.53%50.24%50.24%51.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.841.851.8957.14%54.47%54.05%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.84%3.73fair odd
EV -6.05%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.65%26.84%26.84%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.463.503.5029.85%28.89%28.57%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cádiz CF (Local): 22.92%; CE Europa (Visit): 50.24%; Draw: 26.84%. For Cádiz CF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.36. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.826%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV +0.826%E +0.188%K +0.243%G +0.002%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -8.56%E -4.70%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 17:52
SportsBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -2.61%E -0.614%K -0.803%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.92%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -2.61%E -0.614%K -0.803%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -8.56%E -4.70%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 17:55
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.76%E -0.894%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 17:35
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -6.05%E -3.23%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -8.34%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.02%EV -12.08%E -6.90%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -10.07%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-27 17:55
1xBet🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 23.58%EV -9.03%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.53%EV -5.04%E -2.67%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.90%EV -6.59%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-27 17:56
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.70%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.50%2.4%2026-10-27 17:45