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Atlético Paso v Córdoba

Kickoff: 2026-10-27 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético Paso (Local)

Prediction 19.04%5.25fair odd
EV +8.52%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +1.81%
Growth +0.154%

assuming max odds 5.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.42%18.96%19.04%19.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.185.255.7022.22%19.31%19.05%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Córdoba (Visit)

Prediction 57.87%1.73fair odd
EV -6.24%
Edge -3.85%
Kelly -10.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.89%57.96%57.87%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.531.531.6267.11%65.52%65.36%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.09%4.33fair odd
EV -0.026%
Edge -0.006%
Kelly -0.008%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.63%23.08%23.09%23.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.014.004.3326.67%24.91%25.00%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlético Paso (Local): 19.04%; Córdoba (Visit): 57.87%; Draw: 23.09%. For Atlético Paso (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.25. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV +8.52%E +1.49%K +1.81%G +0.154%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.76%EV -10.87%E -7.06%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.34%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 19:55
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV +4.71%E +0.856%K +1.05%G +0.049%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -0.026%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 19:55
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV +4.71%E +0.856%K +1.05%G +0.049%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -11.45%E -7.49%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.65%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-27 19:55
1xBet🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.15%EV +3.76%E +0.689%K +0.844%G +0.032%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.32%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.53%EV -4.18%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 19:55
Unibet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.20%EV -13.77%E -9.24%K -28.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.71%EV -8.80%E -2.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-27 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.20%EV -13.77%E -9.24%K -28.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.71%EV -8.80%E -2.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-27 19:50
Svenska Spel🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.20%EV -13.77%E -9.24%K -28.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.71%EV -8.80%E -2.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-27 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.20%EV -13.77%E -9.24%K -28.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.71%EV -8.80%E -2.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-27 19:50
Grosvenor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.20%EV -13.77%E -9.24%K -28.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.71%EV -8.80%E -2.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-27 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.20%EV -13.77%E -9.24%K -28.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.71%EV -8.80%E -2.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-27 19:50
ATG (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.20%EV -13.77%E -9.24%K -28.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.71%EV -8.80%E -2.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-27 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.20%EV -13.77%E -9.24%K -28.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.71%EV -8.80%E -2.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-27 19:50
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -0.026%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-27 19:38
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -8.56%E -5.42%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -7.65%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-27 19:55
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -11.45%E -7.49%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.65%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-27 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -11.45%E -7.49%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.65%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-27 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -11.45%E -7.49%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.65%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-27 19:55
Pinnacle🎯4.72I 21.19%NM 19.66%EV -10.14%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.24%E -3.85%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.08%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-27 19:15
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -14.33%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.89%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.51%EV -13.42%E -3.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-27 19:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%1.6%2026-10-27 19:55