Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético Calatayud v CA Osasuna

2026-10-29 18:00 UTC — Copa del Rey

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético Calatayud (Local)

Prediction 1.67%59.81fair odd
EV +35.44%
Edge +0.438%
Kelly +0.443%
Growth +0.157%

assuming max odds 81.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
1.20%1.69%1.59%4.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
23.0055.1851.0081.004.35%1.81%1.96%1.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CA Osasuna (Visit)

Prediction 93.55%1.07fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -3.54%
Kelly -121.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.48%93.31%93.35%96.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.021.021.03100.00%97.93%98.04%97.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 4.78%20.93fair odd
EV +95.89%
Edge +2.34%
Kelly +2.40%
Growth +2.30%

assuming max odds 41.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.38%5.00%5.06%8.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.0022.0621.0041.009.09%4.53%4.76%2.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlético Calatayud (Local): 1.67%; CA Osasuna (Visit): 93.55%; Draw: 4.78%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 20.93. 9 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 41.00, producing a positive expected value of +95.89%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betway🎯81.00I 1.23%NM 1.20%EV +35.44%E +0.438%K +0.443%G +0.157%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.42%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -551.44%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +95.89%E +2.34%K +2.40%G +2.30%2.7%2026-10-29 05:24
Sky Bet🎯51.00I 1.96%NM 1.89%EV -14.72%E -0.289%K -0.294%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.28%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -551.44%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.83%EV +62.44%E +1.84%K +1.89%G +1.18%3.9%2026-10-29 03:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯76.00I 1.32%NM 1.29%EV +27.08%E +0.356%K +0.361%G +0.098%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.95%EV -3.64%E -3.54%K -121.44%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.76%EV +24.22%E +0.932%K +0.969%G +0.235%2.2%2026-10-29 03:15
Paddy Power🎯76.00I 1.32%NM 1.27%EV +27.08%E +0.356%K +0.361%G +0.098%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.00%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.94%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.73%EV +24.22%E +0.932%K +0.969%G +0.235%3.2%2026-10-29 03:13
BetMGM🎯61.00I 1.64%NM 1.58%EV +2.00%E +0.033%K +0.033%G +0.001%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.70%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.94%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.72%EV +24.22%E +0.932%K +0.969%G +0.235%3.5%2026-10-29 06:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV -14.72%E -0.289%K -0.294%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.90%EV -3.64%E -3.54%K -121.44%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +9.89%E +0.430%K +0.449%G +0.044%3.4%2026-10-29 02:59
Coral🎯51.00I 1.96%NM 1.90%EV -14.72%E -0.289%K -0.294%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.90%EV -3.64%E -3.54%K -121.44%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +9.89%E +0.430%K +0.449%G +0.044%3.4%2026-10-29 02:59
SportsBet🎯71.00I 1.41%NM 1.36%EV +18.72%E +0.264%K +0.267%G +0.050%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.45%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.94%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.19%EV +9.89%E +0.430%K +0.449%G +0.044%3.8%2026-10-29 03:14
betfred_uk🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV -61.54%E -2.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.57%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -551.44%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV +0.333%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-29 03:00
William Hill🎯51.00I 1.96%NM 1.88%EV -14.72%E -0.289%K -0.294%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.07%EV -3.64%E -3.54%K -121.44%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -9.22%E -0.485%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-29 06:25
888sport🎯51.00I 1.96%NM 1.88%EV -14.72%E -0.289%K -0.294%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.07%EV -3.64%E -3.54%K -121.44%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -9.22%E -0.485%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-29 03:14
888sport (SE)🎯51.00I 1.96%NM 1.88%EV -14.72%E -0.289%K -0.294%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.07%EV -3.64%E -3.54%K -121.44%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -9.22%E -0.485%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-29 03:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯51.00I 1.96%NM 1.88%EV -14.72%E -0.289%K -0.294%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.07%EV -3.64%E -3.54%K -121.44%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -9.22%E -0.485%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-29 03:14
Unibet (UK)🎯61.00I 1.64%NM 1.55%EV +2.00%E +0.033%K +0.033%G +0.001%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.87%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.94%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.57%EV -18.78%E -1.10%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-29 06:20
1xBet🎯50.00I 2.00%NM 1.85%EV -16.40%E -0.328%K -0.335%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 92.69%EV -6.45%E -6.45%K +0.000%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -18.78%E -1.10%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-29 06:55
Bet Victor🎯41.00I 2.44%NM 2.23%EV -31.44%E -0.767%K -0.786%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 89.48%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV -47.44%E -4.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-29 02:59
betano_uk🎯41.00I 2.44%NM 2.23%EV -31.44%E -0.767%K -0.786%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 89.48%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV -47.44%E -4.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-29 03:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 47.09%1.04I 96.15%NM 50.71%24.00I 4.17%NM 2.20%89.6%2026-10-29 05:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 47.09%1.04I 96.15%NM 50.71%24.00I 4.17%NM 2.20%89.6%2026-10-29 05:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 47.09%1.04I 96.15%NM 50.71%24.00I 4.17%NM 2.20%89.6%2026-10-29 06:40