La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Neom v Al-Taawoun
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Neom (Local)
Predicción 38.71%2.58momio equitativo
EV -0.138%
Ventaja -0.054%
Kelly -0.088%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.78%38.83%38.76%41.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.162.312.302.5846.30%43.22%43.48%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Taawoun (Visitante)
Predicción 34.06%2.94momio equitativo
EV +0.483%
Ventaja +0.164%
Kelly +0.248%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.21%33.87%34.04%35.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.752.752.9540.00%36.37%36.36%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.23%3.67momio equitativo
EV -3.33%
Ventaja -0.937%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.59%27.30%27.20%29.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.293.353.5534.72%30.35%29.85%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -12.91%E -5.74%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV +0.483%E +0.164%K +0.248%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 18:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -12.91%E -5.74%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV +0.483%E +0.164%K +0.248%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -12.91%E -5.74%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV +0.483%E +0.164%K +0.248%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 18:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -12.91%E -5.74%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV +0.483%E +0.164%K +0.248%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -12.91%E -5.74%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV +0.483%E +0.164%K +0.248%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 18:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -12.91%E -5.74%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV +0.483%E +0.164%K +0.248%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -13.69%E -6.14%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -1.22%E -0.421%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-12 18:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -13.69%E -6.14%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -1.22%E -0.421%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-12 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.72%EV -16.40%E -7.59%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -2.92%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.66%EV -7.96%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.99%EV -16.01%E -7.38%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.21%EV -2.92%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-12 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.99%EV -16.01%E -7.38%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.21%EV -2.92%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-12 18:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.62%EV -0.138%E -0.054%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -3.94%E -1.40%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.97%EV -5.51%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.60%EV -4.40%E -1.78%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.54%EV -5.99%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -3.33%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -6.33%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.22%EV -14.07%E -6.34%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -6.33%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.31%EV -10.95%E -3.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-12 18:54 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -8.03%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.03%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.74%E -3.67%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.98%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.74%E -3.67%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.76%E -4.11%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.76%E -4.11%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -10.98%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -10.76%E -4.11%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.58%E -5.03%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -10.98%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -10.76%E -4.11%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.58%E -5.03%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -10.98%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -10.76%E -4.11%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -15.58%E -5.03%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -11.44%E -4.40%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -10.98%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -11.44%E -4.40%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.27%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -11.44%E -4.40%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -15.58%E -5.03%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.58%EV -12.91%E -5.74%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.72%EV -14.84%E -5.94%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -10.98%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -14.84%E -5.94%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -21.57%E -7.49%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.79% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.88% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.88% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.28% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.0% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.95% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 2.3% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |