Language:English
Neom v Al-Khaleej
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Neom (Local)
Prediction 55.90%1.79fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -5.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.39%56.00%56.09%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.651.651.7264.52%60.48%60.42%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Khaleej (Visit)
Prediction 18.78%5.33fair odd
EV -0.302%
Edge -0.057%
Kelly -0.070%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.68%18.77%18.63%22.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.544.605.3125.32%22.01%21.74%18.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.32%3.95fair odd
EV -0.483%
Edge -0.123%
Kelly -0.165%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.67%25.23%25.28%26.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.573.503.9329.85%28.01%28.57%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Neom (Local): 55.90%; Al-Khaleej (Visit): 18.78%; Draw: 25.32%. For Al-Khaleej (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.31, with an expected value of -0.302%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -3.85%E -2.24%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -23.02%E -5.61%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-03 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -3.85%E -2.24%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -23.02%E -5.61%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-03 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -3.85%E -2.24%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -21.14%E -5.03%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-03 16:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -3.85%E -2.24%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -21.14%E -5.03%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-03 16:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -3.85%E -2.24%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -21.14%E -5.03%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-03 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -3.85%E -2.24%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -21.14%E -5.03%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-03 16:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.05%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.27%EV -0.302%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.68%EV -0.483%E -0.123%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -9.88%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -1.24%E -0.319%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 16:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.82%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.04%EV -1.24%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.14%EV -8.08%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.51%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -9.88%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -3.78%E -0.994%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -24.90%E -6.22%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-03 16:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -6.64%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -13.63%E -2.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-03 15:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -6.64%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -24.90%E -6.22%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-03 16:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -7.20%E -4.34%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -9.88%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.59%EV -7.20%E -4.34%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.10%EV -25.84%E -6.54%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.31%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-03 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -7.76%E -4.70%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.12%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 52.65%EV -8.88%E -5.45%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.73%EV -25.84%E -6.54%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.62%EV -15.17%E -4.53%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-09-03 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -8.00%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -10.11%E -2.85%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-03 16:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.82%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-03 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.82%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -13.63%E -2.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-03 16:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.45%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -15.51%E -3.45%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -10.00%E -6.21%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -13.63%E -2.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-03 16:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -10.00%E -6.21%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -13.63%E -2.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-03 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -10.00%E -6.21%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -13.63%E -2.96%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-03 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.56%E -6.60%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -2.37%E -0.455%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.95%EV -10.56%E -6.60%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -11.76%E -2.50%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -2.51%E -0.652%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.17%EV -10.56%E -6.60%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.61%EV -15.51%E -3.45%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-03 16:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.42%EV -11.67%E -7.39%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -15.51%E -3.45%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.50%EV -13.35%E -8.61%K -24.28%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.83%EV -12.69%E -2.73%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -10.11%E -2.85%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.55% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.07% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.55% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.07% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.52% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.26% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22% | 1.7% | 2026-09-03 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.61% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.47% | 2.2% | 2026-09-03 16:25 |