赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Neom v Al-Fateh

开赛时间： 2026-09-13 16:20 UTC

最终结果： Neom 4–2 Al-Fateh

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Neom (主队)

预测 57.58%1.74公平赔率
EV -4.42%
优势 -2.67%
Kelly -6.70%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.66

博彩公司预测分布
55.70%57.55%57.59%59.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.481.571.561.6667.57%63.72%64.10%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Fateh (客队)

预测 19.22%5.20公平赔率
EV +3.01%
优势 +0.562%
Kelly +0.691%
增长率 +0.021%

假设最高赔率为 5.36

博彩公司预测分布
17.92%19.28%19.27%21.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.674.705.3625.00%21.39%21.28%18.66%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.21%4.31公平赔率
EV -2.54%
优势 -0.604%
Kelly -0.792%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布
21.90%23.17%23.15%24.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.903.904.2027.78%25.65%25.64%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Neom (主队)：57.58%；Al-Fateh (客队)：19.22%；平局：23.21%。 对于“Al-Fateh (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.20。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.36，对应+3.01%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.88%EV -4.42%E -2.67%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 17.92%EV +3.01%E +0.562%K +0.691%G +0.021%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.20%EV -7.87%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 16:11
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.13%EV -4.42%E -2.67%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.86%EV -3.33%E -0.662%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -8.34%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 15:56
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -10.76%E -6.94%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -5.83%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -2.54%E -0.604%K -0.792%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 15:25
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -7.75%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -2.54%E -0.604%K -0.792%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 15:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -7.75%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -2.54%E -0.604%K -0.792%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 15:30
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.97%EV -10.18%E -6.53%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -7.75%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 15:26
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.97%EV -10.18%E -6.53%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -7.75%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 15:26
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.97%EV -10.18%E -6.53%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -7.75%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.97%EV -10.18%E -6.53%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -7.75%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.97%EV -10.18%E -6.53%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -7.75%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 15:26
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.97%EV -10.18%E -6.53%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -7.75%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.73%E -4.15%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.71%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 15:25
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.24%EV -9.61%E -6.12%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -9.67%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.86%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 15:31
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.88%EV -11.33%E -7.36%K -20.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.97%EV -9.67%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.88%EV -11.33%E -7.36%K -20.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.97%EV -9.67%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.04%EV -11.91%E -7.78%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.89%EV -9.67%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.07%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 15:25
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.88%E -4.92%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.59%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -10.76%E -6.94%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -11.59%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 16:06
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.26%EV -9.61%E -6.12%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -11.59%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -16.46%E -4.57%K -6.33%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 16:15
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.26%EV -9.61%E -6.12%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -11.59%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -16.46%E -4.57%K -6.33%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.26%EV -9.61%E -6.12%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -11.59%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -16.46%E -4.57%K -6.33%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.26%EV -9.61%E -6.12%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -11.59%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -16.46%E -4.57%K -6.33%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.12%EV -13.06%E -8.65%K -25.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.08%EV -11.59%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.80%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 15:53
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.67%EV -12.49%E -8.21%K -24.01%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.26%EV -12.56%E -2.76%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 15:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -9.03%E -5.72%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -13.52%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 15:25
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.61%E -6.12%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.52%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 15:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 57.84%EV -14.79%E -9.99%K -30.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.02%EV -13.52%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.14%EV -14.14%E -3.82%K -5.24%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-13 15:26
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.16%EV -10.18%E -6.53%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -15.44%E -3.51%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.57%EV -8.34%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 15:26
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.97%EV -10.76%E -6.94%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -16.78%E -3.88%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.27%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-13 15:30
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 55.70%EV -10.76%E -6.94%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -23.13%E -5.78%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-13 15:31
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.21%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.7%2026-09-13 16:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.21%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.7%2026-09-13 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.21%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.7%2026-09-13 16:15
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.78%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%1.9%2026-09-13 16:05
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 57.85%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%3.5%2026-09-13 16:11