Language:English
Diriyah Club v Abha Club
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Diriyah Club (Local)
Prediction 67.39%1.48fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -6.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.83%67.42%67.61%70.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.371.361.4476.92%73.10%73.53%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Abha Club (Visit)
Prediction 13.58%7.36fair odd
EV +7.18%
Edge +0.910%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.075%
assuming max odds 7.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.76%13.46%13.39%15.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.486.507.8917.39%15.43%15.38%12.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.03%5.26fair odd
EV +3.88%
Edge +0.711%
Kelly +0.871%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 5.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.61%19.13%19.00%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.574.575.4624.39%21.88%21.86%18.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Diriyah Club (Local): 67.39%; Abha Club (Visit): 13.58%; Draw: 19.03%. For Abha Club (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.36. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.18%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.20%EV -7.68%E -5.60%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 7.89I 12.67%NM 12.19%EV +7.18%E +0.910%K +1.04%G +0.075% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.61%EV +3.88%E +0.711%K +0.871%G +0.034% | 4.0% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -11.05%E -8.37%K -34.52%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV +5.95%E +0.763%K +0.876%G +0.052% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.98%EV -6.33%E -4.55%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 7.08I 14.12%NM 13.35%EV -3.83%E -0.540%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.67%EV -3.73%E -0.737%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 17:56 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.38%EV -7.68%E -5.60%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 17:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -8.35%E -6.14%K -23.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.58%E -2.25%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 10:21 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -8.35%E -6.14%K -23.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -14.38%E -3.20%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 17:06 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -10.37%E -7.80%K -31.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.48%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -10.37%E -7.80%K -31.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.38%E -3.20%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 10:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.73%EV -12.39%E -9.53%K -41.31%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.34%EV -10.35%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.93%EV -11.53%E -2.48%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-13 17:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -2.96%E -2.05%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -8.67%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-13 07:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -2.96%E -2.05%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -8.67%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-13 07:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -8.35%E -6.14%K -23.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -17.62%E -4.07%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 10:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -10.37%E -7.80%K -31.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -12.48%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 17:56 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -10.37%E -7.80%K -31.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -12.48%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 17:56 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -10.37%E -7.80%K -31.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -12.48%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -10.37%E -7.80%K -31.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -12.48%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 17:56 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.31%EV -12.39%E -9.53%K -41.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.46%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.23%EV -13.43%E -2.95%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.29%EV -9.02%E -6.68%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -15.10%E -2.42%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.95%EV -9.70%E -7.24%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.35%EV -15.10%E -2.42%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -8.67%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -4.31%E -3.03%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -17.24%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 17:46 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -4.31%E -3.03%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -17.24%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -4.31%E -3.03%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -17.24%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 17:46 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -4.31%E -3.03%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -17.24%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -4.31%E -3.03%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -17.24%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.29%EV -4.98%E -3.53%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -16.28%E -3.70%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-13 17:56 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.99%EV -5.65%E -4.04%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -19.14%E -4.50%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -5.65%E -4.04%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -20.09%E -4.78%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 17:56 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.41%EV -10.37%E -7.80%K -31.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.50%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.09%EV -17.62%E -4.07%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-13 06:06 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.15%EV -7.00%E -5.07%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV -21.21%E -3.66%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.59%EV -18.19%E -4.23%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-13 17:56 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 64.11%EV -9.70%E -7.24%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 14.94%EV -21.89%E -3.81%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.95%EV -21.99%E -5.36%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.34% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.72% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94% | 1.6% | 2026-09-13 17:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.34% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.72% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94% | 1.6% | 2026-09-13 17:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.34% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.72% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94% | 1.6% | 2026-09-13 17:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.39% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.56% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05% | 2.9% | 2026-09-13 17:56 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.51% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24% | 3.9% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |