L’École des cotes

Damac v Al-Khaleej

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 16:10 UTC

Score final : Damac 0–2 Al-Khaleej

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Damac (Local)

Prévision 35.02%2.86cote équitable
EV -0.186%
Avantage -0.065%
Kelly -0.101%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.26%34.94%35.02%36.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.672.692.8541.67%37.42%37.17%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Khaleej (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.88%2.71cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -0.997%
Kelly -1.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.69%36.87%36.92%39.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.232.392.402.6444.84%41.87%41.67%37.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.10%3.56cote équitable
EV +3.67%
Avantage +0.996%
Kelly +1.37%
Croissance +0.050%

avec la cote maximale 3.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.30%28.19%28.06%30.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.233.253.6935.71%30.95%30.77%27.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 36.08%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.62%EV -4.84%E -1.88%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.30%EV +3.67%E +0.996%K +1.37%G +0.050%3.0%2026-05-02 16:01
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.80%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.47%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 15:30
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.64%E -3.93%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -5.88%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.80%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 15:30
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:00
Betclic (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 16:05
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:00
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -0.186%E -0.065%K -0.101%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -14.07%E -6.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 15:50
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -0.186%E -0.065%K -0.101%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -14.07%E -6.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 15:50
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -0.186%E -0.065%K -0.101%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -14.07%E -6.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 15:50
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -0.186%E -0.065%K -0.101%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -14.07%E -6.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 15:50
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -0.186%E -0.065%K -0.101%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -14.07%E -6.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 15:50
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -0.186%E -0.065%K -0.101%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -14.07%E -6.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 15:50
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:00
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 13:15
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 16:01
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 35.95%EV -15.95%E -6.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.51%EV -15.17%E -6.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-02 15:30
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 34.29%EV -2.64%E -0.949%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.11%EV -2.63%E -0.997%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.60%EV -9.53%E -2.96%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 15:50
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.80%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -15.17%E -6.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 15:50
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -15.17%E -6.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 15:49
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-02 16:05
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-02 16:05
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-02 16:05
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-02 16:05
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -17.02%E -7.56%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -11.50%E -3.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-02 15:50
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -17.02%E -7.56%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -11.50%E -3.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-02 15:50
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.27%EV -12.22%E -5.13%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 13:01
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.45%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.29%EV -17.75%E -7.96%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-02 15:49
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.06%EV -13.33%E -5.67%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-02 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.98%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.69%EV -12.22%E -5.13%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.34%EV -21.33%E -7.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%17.7%2026-05-02 13:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.42%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-05-02 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.42%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-05-02 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.42%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-05-02 16:00
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 34.93%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.51%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.56%3.0%2026-05-02 16:05
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 34.91%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.91%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18%3.0%2026-05-02 16:05