La scuola delle quote

Damac v Al-Ahli

Inizio: 2026-02-23 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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28 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Damac (Casa)

Previsione 12.01%8.32quota equa
EV +16.65%
Vantaggio +1.71%
Kelly +1.91%
Crescita +0.318%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.72%12.00%11.93%13.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.758.248.009.7114.81%12.14%12.50%10.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Ahli (Trasferta)

Previsione 68.07%1.47quota equa
EV -4.70%
Vantaggio -3.36%
Kelly -11.75%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.79%68.02%68.40%72.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.241.321.311.4080.65%76.02%76.34%71.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 19.92%5.02quota equa
EV +1.57%
Vantaggio +0.308%
Kelly +0.383%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.91%19.98%19.68%21.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.704.755.1025.00%21.28%21.05%19.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet9.71I 10.30%NM 9.99%EV +16.65%E +1.71%K +1.91%G +0.318%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.80%EV -5.38%E -3.87%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.21%EV -4.41%E -0.918%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-23 18:55
Unibet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV +14.13%E +1.49%K +1.66%G +0.235%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -12.87%E -10.05%K -45.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV +1.57%E +0.308%K +0.383%G +0.006%8.3%2026-02-23 18:20
Unibet (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV +14.13%E +1.49%K +1.66%G +0.235%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -12.87%E -10.05%K -45.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV +1.57%E +0.308%K +0.383%G +0.006%8.3%2026-02-23 18:19
Unibet (NL)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV +14.13%E +1.49%K +1.66%G +0.235%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -12.87%E -10.05%K -45.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV +1.57%E +0.308%K +0.383%G +0.006%8.3%2026-02-23 18:20
Grosvenor9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV +14.13%E +1.49%K +1.66%G +0.235%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -12.87%E -10.05%K -45.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV +1.57%E +0.308%K +0.383%G +0.006%8.3%2026-02-23 18:20
Svenska Spel9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV +14.13%E +1.49%K +1.66%G +0.235%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -12.87%E -10.05%K -45.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV +1.57%E +0.308%K +0.383%G +0.006%8.3%2026-02-23 18:19
ATG (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV +14.13%E +1.49%K +1.66%G +0.235%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -12.87%E -10.05%K -45.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV +1.57%E +0.308%K +0.383%G +0.006%8.3%2026-02-23 18:19
LeoVegas9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV +8.12%E +0.902%K +1.01%G +0.082%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.94%EV -13.55%E -10.67%K -50.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV +1.57%E +0.308%K +0.383%G +0.006%9.5%2026-02-23 18:20
LiveScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV +8.12%E +0.902%K +1.01%G +0.082%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.90%EV -15.59%E -12.57%K -64.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -2.41%E -0.493%K -0.619%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-23 18:19
Virgin Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV +8.12%E +0.902%K +1.01%G +0.082%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.90%EV -15.59%E -12.57%K -64.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -2.41%E -0.493%K -0.619%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-23 18:20
Tipico (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV +2.11%E +0.249%K +0.282%G +0.006%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.63%EV -10.15%E -7.69%K -31.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -6.40%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-23 18:55
SportsBet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV +2.11%E +0.249%K +0.282%G +0.006%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -11.51%E -8.85%K -38.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -5.40%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-23 18:45
Unibet (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -3.89%E -0.487%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -6.74%E -4.92%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.39%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-23 18:49
Paddy Power8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -3.89%E -0.487%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -11.51%E -8.85%K -38.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -5.40%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-23 18:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -3.89%E -0.487%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 67.23%EV -11.51%E -8.85%K -38.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -20.34%E -5.08%K -6.78%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-23 18:45
Pinnacle7.96I 12.56%NM 11.85%EV -4.37%E -0.550%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.86%EV -6.74%E -4.92%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.29%EV -2.61%E -0.534%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -9.90%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.41%E -0.918%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 18:45
Coral7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -9.90%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.41%E -0.918%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 18:45
Betclic (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -9.90%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.54%EV -11.51%E -8.85%K -38.36%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.58%EV -9.38%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-23 18:48
888sport7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -9.90%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -9.47%E -7.12%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -16.35%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-23 18:55
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -9.90%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -9.47%E -7.12%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -16.35%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-23 18:54
888sport (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -9.90%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -9.47%E -7.12%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -16.35%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-23 18:55
Mr Green (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -9.90%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -9.47%E -7.12%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -16.35%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-23 18:55
Sky Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -9.90%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -11.51%E -8.85%K -38.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -10.38%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-23 18:45
Unibet (FR)7.30I 13.70%NM 12.33%EV -12.30%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.67%EV -9.47%E -7.12%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -10.38%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-23 18:55
Winamax (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -15.91%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -8.78%E -6.56%K -25.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -6.40%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-23 18:50
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -15.91%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -9.47%E -7.12%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -13.77%E -3.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-23 18:40
Winamax (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.26%EV -18.91%E -2.80%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.29%EV -9.47%E -7.12%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -8.39%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-23 18:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.36%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-02-23 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.36%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-02-23 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.36%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-02-23 18:50
Smarkets9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.37%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.58%1.5%2026-02-23 18:55