La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Damac v Al-Ahli
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Damac (Local)
Predicción 12.01%8.32momio equitativo
EV +16.65%
Ventaja +1.71%
Kelly +1.91%
Crecimiento +0.318%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.72%12.00%11.93%13.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.758.248.009.7114.81%12.14%12.50%10.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Ahli (Visitante)
Predicción 68.07%1.47momio equitativo
EV -4.70%
Ventaja -3.36%
Kelly -11.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.79%68.02%68.40%72.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.321.311.4080.65%76.02%76.34%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.92%5.02momio equitativo
EV +1.57%
Ventaja +0.308%
Kelly +0.383%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.91%19.98%19.68%21.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.704.755.1025.00%21.28%21.05%19.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (28 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 9.71I 10.30%NM 9.99%EV +16.65%E +1.71%K +1.91%G +0.318% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.80%EV -5.38%E -3.87%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.21%EV -4.41%E -0.918%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| Unibet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV +14.13%E +1.49%K +1.66%G +0.235% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -12.87%E -10.05%K -45.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV +1.57%E +0.308%K +0.383%G +0.006% | 8.3% | 2026-02-23 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV +14.13%E +1.49%K +1.66%G +0.235% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -12.87%E -10.05%K -45.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV +1.57%E +0.308%K +0.383%G +0.006% | 8.3% | 2026-02-23 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV +14.13%E +1.49%K +1.66%G +0.235% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -12.87%E -10.05%K -45.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV +1.57%E +0.308%K +0.383%G +0.006% | 8.3% | 2026-02-23 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV +14.13%E +1.49%K +1.66%G +0.235% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -12.87%E -10.05%K -45.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV +1.57%E +0.308%K +0.383%G +0.006% | 8.3% | 2026-02-23 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV +14.13%E +1.49%K +1.66%G +0.235% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -12.87%E -10.05%K -45.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV +1.57%E +0.308%K +0.383%G +0.006% | 8.3% | 2026-02-23 18:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV +14.13%E +1.49%K +1.66%G +0.235% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -12.87%E -10.05%K -45.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV +1.57%E +0.308%K +0.383%G +0.006% | 8.3% | 2026-02-23 18:19 |
| LeoVegas | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV +8.12%E +0.902%K +1.01%G +0.082% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.94%EV -13.55%E -10.67%K -50.18%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV +1.57%E +0.308%K +0.383%G +0.006% | 9.5% | 2026-02-23 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV +8.12%E +0.902%K +1.01%G +0.082% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.90%EV -15.59%E -12.57%K -64.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -2.41%E -0.493%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-23 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV +8.12%E +0.902%K +1.01%G +0.082% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.90%EV -15.59%E -12.57%K -64.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -2.41%E -0.493%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-23 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV +2.11%E +0.249%K +0.282%G +0.006% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.63%EV -10.15%E -7.69%K -31.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -6.40%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV +2.11%E +0.249%K +0.282%G +0.006% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -11.51%E -8.85%K -38.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -5.40%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-23 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -3.89%E -0.487%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -6.74%E -4.92%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.39%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-23 18:49 |
| Paddy Power | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -3.89%E -0.487%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -11.51%E -8.85%K -38.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -5.40%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-23 18:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -3.89%E -0.487%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.23%EV -11.51%E -8.85%K -38.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -20.34%E -5.08%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-02-23 18:45 |
| Pinnacle | 7.96I 12.56%NM 11.85%EV -4.37%E -0.550%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.86%EV -6.74%E -4.92%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.29%EV -2.61%E -0.534%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -9.90%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.41%E -0.918%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-23 18:45 |
| Coral | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -9.90%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.41%E -0.918%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-23 18:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -9.90%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.54%EV -11.51%E -8.85%K -38.36%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.58%EV -9.38%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-23 18:48 |
| 888sport | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -9.90%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -9.47%E -7.12%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -16.35%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| William Hill | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -9.90%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -9.47%E -7.12%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -16.35%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-23 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -9.90%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -9.47%E -7.12%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -16.35%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -9.90%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -9.47%E -7.12%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -16.35%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| Sky Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -9.90%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -11.51%E -8.85%K -38.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -10.38%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-23 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.33%EV -12.30%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.67%EV -9.47%E -7.12%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -10.38%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -15.91%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -8.78%E -6.56%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -6.40%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-23 18:50 |
| BoyleSports | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -15.91%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -9.47%E -7.12%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -13.77%E -3.18%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-23 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.26%EV -18.91%E -2.80%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.29%EV -9.47%E -7.12%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -8.39%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-23 18:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.36% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 0.8% | 2026-02-23 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.36% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 0.8% | 2026-02-23 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.36% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 0.8% | 2026-02-23 18:50 |
| Smarkets | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.37% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.58% | 1.5% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |