L’École des cotes

Al-Taawoun v Al-Riyadh

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-15 18:00 UTC

Score final : Al-Taawoun 1–1 Al-Riyadh

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Taawoun (Local)

Prévision 57.99%1.72cote équitable
EV -4.31%
Avantage -2.61%
Kelly -6.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.02%57.83%58.16%58.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.591.571.6566.23%63.05%63.69%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Riyadh (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.45%5.14cote équitable
EV +5.01%
Avantage +0.927%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.057%

avec la cote maximale 5.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.98%19.47%19.44%21.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.564.505.4025.00%21.93%22.22%18.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.56%4.43cote équitable
EV -5.24%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.46%22.69%22.40%24.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.974.004.2028.57%25.16%25.00%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -4.31%E -2.61%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.98%EV +5.01%E +0.927%K +1.14%G +0.057%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.17%EV -5.47%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-15 17:55
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 58.11%EV -5.47%E -3.36%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.50%EV -0.439%E -0.086%K -0.107%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.39%EV -8.63%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 17:46
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.95%E -5.70%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -6.66%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 17:35
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -8.95%E -5.70%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -7.63%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 17:55
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -8.95%E -5.70%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -7.63%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 17:55
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -4.31%E -2.61%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -10.55%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -4.31%E -2.61%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -10.55%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 17:25
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.15%EV -9.53%E -6.11%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -10.55%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-15 17:35
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 56.26%EV -8.95%E -5.70%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -10.55%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -18.78%E -5.22%K -7.22%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-15 17:55
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.26%EV -8.95%E -5.70%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -10.55%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -18.78%E -5.22%K -7.22%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-15 17:55
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.26%EV -8.95%E -5.70%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -10.55%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -18.78%E -5.22%K -7.22%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-15 17:55
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.97%EV -12.43%E -8.23%K -24.37%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.57%EV -11.52%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.46%EV -6.37%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-15 17:39
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -6.05%E -3.74%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 17:35
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -6.05%E -3.74%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 17:25
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -6.05%E -3.74%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -6.05%E -3.74%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 17:25
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -6.05%E -3.74%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 17:25
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -6.05%E -3.74%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 17:25
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -6.05%E -3.74%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 17:25
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -6.05%E -3.74%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 17:40
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -7.21%E -4.51%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -7.21%E -4.51%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 17:25
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.90%EV -10.69%E -6.94%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-15 17:35
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -10.11%E -6.52%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -12.01%E -3.08%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-15 17:55
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 56.39%EV -8.95%E -5.70%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.68%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -16.52%E -4.47%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-15 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -11.27%E -7.37%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -21.04%E -6.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-15 17:55
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -10.11%E -6.52%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -14.44%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-15 17:35
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 56.86%EV -9.53%E -6.11%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.39%EV -15.41%E -3.54%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -12.01%E -3.08%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-15 17:25
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 56.86%EV -9.53%E -6.11%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.39%EV -15.41%E -3.54%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -12.01%E -3.08%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-15 17:25
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.89%EV -10.11%E -6.52%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.51%EV -16.38%E -3.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -12.01%E -3.08%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-15 17:25
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 56.02%EV -11.27%E -7.37%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -22.22%E -5.55%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -14.27%E -3.75%K -5.10%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-15 17:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-05-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-05-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.36%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%1.5%2026-05-15 17:55
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.85%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%2.1%2026-05-15 17:55
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.30%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.24%2.2%2026-05-15 17:55