La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Al-Taawoun v Al-Riyadh
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Taawoun (Local)
Predicción 57.99%1.72momio equitativo
EV -4.31%
Ventaja -2.61%
Kelly -6.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.02%57.83%58.16%58.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.591.571.6566.23%63.05%63.69%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Riyadh (Visitante)
Predicción 19.45%5.14momio equitativo
EV +5.01%
Ventaja +0.927%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.057%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.98%19.47%19.44%21.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.564.505.4025.00%21.93%22.22%18.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.56%4.43momio equitativo
EV -5.24%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -1.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.46%22.69%22.40%24.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.974.004.2028.57%25.16%25.00%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -4.31%E -2.61%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.98%EV +5.01%E +0.927%K +1.14%G +0.057% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 23.17%EV -5.47%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.11%EV -5.47%E -3.36%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.50%EV -0.439%E -0.086%K -0.107%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.39%EV -8.63%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-15 17:46 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.95%E -5.70%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -6.66%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 17:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -8.95%E -5.70%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -7.63%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -8.95%E -5.70%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -7.63%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -4.31%E -2.61%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -10.55%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -4.31%E -2.61%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -10.55%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.15%EV -9.53%E -6.11%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -10.55%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-15 17:35 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.26%EV -8.95%E -5.70%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -10.55%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -18.78%E -5.22%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.26%EV -8.95%E -5.70%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -10.55%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -18.78%E -5.22%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.26%EV -8.95%E -5.70%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -10.55%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -18.78%E -5.22%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.97%EV -12.43%E -8.23%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.57%EV -11.52%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.46%EV -6.37%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-15 17:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -6.05%E -3.74%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 17:35 |
| Unibet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -6.05%E -3.74%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-15 17:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -6.05%E -3.74%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-15 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -6.05%E -3.74%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-15 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -6.05%E -3.74%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-15 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -6.05%E -3.74%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-15 17:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -6.05%E -3.74%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-15 17:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -6.05%E -3.74%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -7.21%E -4.51%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -7.21%E -4.51%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 17:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.90%EV -10.69%E -6.94%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-15 17:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -10.11%E -6.52%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -12.01%E -3.08%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.39%EV -8.95%E -5.70%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.68%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -16.52%E -4.47%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -11.27%E -7.37%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -21.04%E -6.01%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -10.11%E -6.52%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -14.44%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-15 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.86%EV -9.53%E -6.11%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.39%EV -15.41%E -3.54%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -12.01%E -3.08%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-15 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.86%EV -9.53%E -6.11%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.39%EV -15.41%E -3.54%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -12.01%E -3.08%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-15 17:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.89%EV -10.11%E -6.52%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.51%EV -16.38%E -3.81%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -12.01%E -3.08%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-15 17:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.02%EV -11.27%E -7.37%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -22.22%E -5.55%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -14.27%E -3.75%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-15 17:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.36% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39% | 1.5% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.85% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 2.1% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.30% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.24% | 2.2% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |