Language:English
Al-Taawoun v Al-Ittihad
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Taawoun (Local)
Prediction 26.91%3.72fair odd
EV -6.90%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -2.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%26.95%26.91%27.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.313.303.4632.26%30.22%30.30%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Ittihad (Visit)
Prediction 48.14%2.08fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -3.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.12%48.29%48.14%49.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.911.912.0055.56%52.34%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.95%4.01fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.362%
Kelly -0.485%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.72%24.75%24.95%27.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.523.503.9532.26%28.42%28.57%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Taawoun (Local): 26.91%; Al-Ittihad (Visit): 48.14%; Draw: 24.95%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.95, with an expected value of -1.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.00%EV -6.90%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.57%E -3.94%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.33%EV -4.18%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 17:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.23%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.05%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -1.43%E -0.362%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 17:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.52%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.52%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.54%E -4.49%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.52%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.54%E -4.49%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.52%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.54%E -4.49%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 16:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 16:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 16:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.54%EV -11.42%E -6.21%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 16:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -11.21%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -5.17%E -2.62%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -13.91%E -4.03%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -11.21%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -5.17%E -2.62%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -13.91%E -4.03%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -11.21%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.34%EV -11.42%E -6.21%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -11.21%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -11.91%E -6.51%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -22.64%E -7.30%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-23 16:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -7.09%E -3.67%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -15.16%E -4.46%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-22 16:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -7.09%E -3.67%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -15.16%E -4.46%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-22 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -10.94%E -5.92%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-23 17:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -10.94%E -5.92%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-23 17:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -10.94%E -5.92%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-23 17:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -10.94%E -5.92%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-23 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -13.90%E -4.34%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.10%EV -11.42%E -6.21%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.25%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 16:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.90%E -4.34%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.15%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -16.40%E -4.90%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-22 16:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.03%EV -13.90%E -4.34%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.76%EV -10.94%E -5.92%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.21%EV -17.65%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -16.59%E -5.35%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -13.35%E -7.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-23 16:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.