L’École des cotes

Al-Taawoun v Al-Hilal

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-24 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

29 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Taawoun (Local)

Prévision 12.35%8.10cote équitable
EV +20.12%
Avantage +2.07%
Kelly +2.30%
Croissance +0.464%

avec la cote maximale 9.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.97%12.26%12.36%13.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.757.978.009.7314.81%12.55%12.50%10.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Hilal (Visiteur)

Prévision 70.27%1.42cote équitable
EV -6.54%
Avantage -4.92%
Kelly -19.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.33%70.34%70.21%73.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.241.281.281.3380.65%78.06%78.13%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 17.38%5.75cote équitable
EV +1.69%
Avantage +0.289%
Kelly +0.349%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 5.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.21%17.39%17.43%19.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.245.305.8522.22%19.08%18.87%17.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet9.73I 10.28%NM 9.97%EV +20.12%E +2.07%K +2.30%G +0.464%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.46%EV -7.24%E -5.49%K -22.63%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.58%EV +1.69%E +0.289%K +0.349%G +0.006%3.1%2026-02-24 18:55
Unibet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV +4.94%E +0.581%K +0.658%G +0.032%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.07%EV -10.05%E -7.85%K -35.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -6.13%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 18:05
Unibet (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV +4.94%E +0.581%K +0.658%G +0.032%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.07%EV -10.05%E -7.85%K -35.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -6.13%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 18:05
Grosvenor8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV +4.94%E +0.581%K +0.658%G +0.032%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.07%EV -10.05%E -7.85%K -35.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -6.13%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 18:05
ATG (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV +4.94%E +0.581%K +0.658%G +0.032%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.07%EV -10.05%E -7.85%K -35.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -6.13%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 18:05
Tipico (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +4.94%E +0.581%K +0.658%G +0.032%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.83%EV -10.05%E -7.85%K -35.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -7.87%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-24 18:30
Unibet (NL)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV +4.94%E +0.581%K +0.658%G +0.032%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.22%EV -10.76%E -8.47%K -39.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -6.13%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-24 18:55
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV +4.94%E +0.581%K +0.658%G +0.032%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.22%EV -10.76%E -8.47%K -39.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -6.13%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-24 18:55
LeoVegas8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV +4.94%E +0.581%K +0.658%G +0.032%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -10.76%E -8.47%K -39.84%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.25%EV -7.87%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 18:05
SportsBet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +4.94%E +0.581%K +0.658%G +0.032%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -12.16%E -9.73%K -48.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -4.39%E -0.798%K -0.976%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-24 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +4.94%E +0.581%K +0.658%G +0.032%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.46%E -9.09%K -44.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.87%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-24 18:55
Paddy Power8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV +4.94%E +0.581%K +0.658%G +0.032%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -12.16%E -9.73%K -48.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.08%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-24 18:20
Coral8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -1.24%E -0.155%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.54%E -4.92%K -19.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.39%E -0.798%K -0.976%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -1.24%E -0.155%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.54%E -4.92%K -19.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.39%E -0.798%K -0.976%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 18:55
Virgin Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -1.24%E -0.155%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -12.86%E -10.37%K -53.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -9.61%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-24 18:05
LiveScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -1.24%E -0.155%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -12.86%E -10.37%K -53.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -9.61%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-24 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -1.24%E -0.155%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 69.73%EV -12.16%E -9.73%K -48.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -21.77%E -4.84%K -6.22%G +0.000%14.7%2026-02-24 18:20
Pinnacle7.67I 13.04%NM 12.30%EV -5.31%E -0.692%K -0.796%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.48%EV -7.24%E -5.49%K -22.63%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.21%EV +1.17%E +0.201%K +0.243%G +0.003%6.0%2026-02-24 18:50
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.41%E -0.988%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.54%E -4.92%K -19.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.74%E -1.66%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 18:50
888sport7.50I 13.33%NM 11.94%EV -7.41%E -0.988%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.41%EV -9.35%E -7.25%K -32.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.65%EV -16.56%E -3.45%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-24 18:55
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 11.94%EV -7.41%E -0.988%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.41%EV -9.35%E -7.25%K -32.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.65%EV -16.56%E -3.45%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-24 18:55
888sport (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.94%EV -7.41%E -0.988%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.41%EV -9.35%E -7.25%K -32.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.65%EV -16.56%E -3.45%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-24 18:55
Mr Green (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.94%EV -7.41%E -0.988%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.41%EV -9.35%E -7.25%K -32.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.65%EV -16.56%E -3.45%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-24 18:55
Sky Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -7.41%E -0.988%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.16%E -9.73%K -48.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -13.08%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-24 18:20
Betclic (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.29%EV -10.50%E -1.45%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 70.73%EV -11.46%E -9.09%K -44.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -8.74%E -1.66%K -2.06%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-24 18:50
Unibet (FR)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.37%EV -11.11%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.16%EV -10.76%E -8.47%K -39.84%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.47%EV -11.34%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-24 18:54
Winamax (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -13.58%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -8.65%E -6.65%K -28.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -4.39%E -0.798%K -0.976%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 18:50
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -13.58%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.35%E -7.25%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.08%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-24 18:45
Winamax (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -16.67%E -2.47%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.71%EV -9.35%E -7.25%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.97%EV -7.87%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-24 18:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.32%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%1.0%2026-02-24 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.32%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%1.0%2026-02-24 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.79%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.61%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.59%2.1%2026-02-24 18:55
Smarkets9.20I 10.87%NM 10.46%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.94%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.60%3.9%2026-02-24 18:55