Language:English
Al-Taawoun v Al-Fayha
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Taawoun (Local)
Prediction 57.17%1.75fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -4.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.38%57.04%57.20%59.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.621.611.7065.79%61.91%62.11%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Fayha (Visit)
Prediction 18.99%5.27fair odd
EV +2.93%
Edge +0.541%
Kelly +0.664%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 5.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.68%19.00%19.39%20.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.664.555.4223.81%21.46%21.98%18.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.84%4.20fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.320%
Kelly -0.421%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.91%23.96%23.41%25.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.693.654.1429.41%27.08%27.40%24.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Taawoun (Local): 57.17%; Al-Fayha (Visit): 18.99%; Draw: 23.84%. For Al-Fayha (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.27. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.84%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.93%EV +2.93%E +0.541%K +0.664%G +0.019% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.23%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-25 16:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.92%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.17%EV -0.864%E -0.166%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.91%EV -1.32%E -0.320%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 16:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -11.38%E -7.34%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -1.24%E -0.239%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -4.66%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-25 16:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.31%EV -2.81%E -1.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-25 16:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.38%E -4.55%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-25 16:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.34%EV -10.81%E -6.93%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.46%EV -7.52%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-25 16:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -10.24%E -6.52%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-25 16:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -6.94%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -8.84%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 16:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -10.24%E -6.52%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -8.84%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -14.19%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-25 16:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-25 16:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -8.52%E -5.33%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-25 15:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.78%EV -13.10%E -8.62%K -25.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.49%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-25 16:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -9.67%E -6.12%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.74%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -5.85%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-25 16:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.33%EV -10.81%E -6.93%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -12.64%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-25 16:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -14.54%E -3.23%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-25 16:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.45%EV -7.38%E -4.55%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -14.54%E -3.23%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -18.96%E -5.58%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-25 16:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.61%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -14.54%E -3.23%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -18.96%E -5.58%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-25 16:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.61%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -14.54%E -3.23%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -18.96%E -5.58%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-25 16:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.61%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -14.54%E -3.23%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -18.96%E -5.58%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-25 16:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.58%EV -5.09%E -3.07%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -16.44%E -3.74%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.82%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-25 15:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.58%EV -5.09%E -3.07%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -16.44%E -3.74%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.82%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-25 16:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.58%EV -5.09%E -3.07%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -16.44%E -3.74%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.82%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-25 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.58%EV -5.09%E -3.07%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -16.44%E -3.74%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.82%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-25 16:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.58%EV -5.09%E -3.07%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -16.44%E -3.74%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.82%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-25 15:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.96%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.11%EV -16.44%E -3.74%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -15.39%E -4.33%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-25 16:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -7.38%E -4.55%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -17.77%E -4.10%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.19%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-25 16:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.38%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.60%EV -19.29%E -4.54%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -16.58%E -4.74%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-25 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.38%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.60%EV -19.29%E -4.54%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -16.58%E -4.74%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-25 16:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 54.84%EV -10.81%E -6.93%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.37%EV -20.24%E -4.82%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.80%EV -17.77%E -5.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-08-25 16:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 0.5% | 2026-08-25 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-08-25 16:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.11% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81% | 2.4% | 2026-08-25 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.10% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.11% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 2.5% | 2026-08-25 16:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.21% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.48% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30% | 2.9% | 2026-08-25 16:10 |