Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Al-Taawoun v Al-Ettifaq

2026-10-31 13:30 UTC — Saudi Pro League

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Al-Taawoun (Local)

Prediction 43.69%2.29fair odd
EV -5.19%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -4.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.27%43.36%43.69%44.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.862.082.102.1753.76%48.08%47.62%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Al-Ettifaq (Visit)

Prediction 30.81%3.25fair odd
EV -7.56%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -3.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.31%30.89%30.81%31.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.922.903.0037.04%34.29%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.49%3.92fair odd
EV -5.16%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.88%25.75%25.49%26.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.413.403.7231.25%29.31%29.41%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Al-Taawoun (Local): 43.69%; Al-Ettifaq (Visit): 30.81%; Draw: 25.49%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.72, with an expected value of -5.16%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.19%E -2.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.23%EV -7.87%E -2.63%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.73%EV -7.45%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 21:31
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.53%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.30%EV -7.87%E -2.63%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.16%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 21:31
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -7.37%E -3.48%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -13.32%E -3.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-25 21:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -7.37%E -3.48%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -13.32%E -3.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-25 21:31
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -7.37%E -3.48%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -13.32%E -3.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-25 21:30
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -7.37%E -3.48%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -13.32%E -3.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-25 21:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -7.37%E -3.48%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -13.32%E -3.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-25 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -7.37%E -3.48%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -13.32%E -3.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-25 21:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.24%E -3.93%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.22%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 23:22
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.24%E -3.93%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.77%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 21:30
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -8.24%E -3.93%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -15.87%E -4.81%K -6.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-26 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -8.24%E -3.93%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -15.87%E -4.81%K -6.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-26 00:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -8.24%E -3.93%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -15.87%E -4.81%K -6.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-26 00:05
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -8.24%E -3.93%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -15.87%E -4.81%K -6.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-26 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.77%EV -9.12%E -4.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -14.59%E -4.36%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-25 21:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.77%EV -9.12%E -4.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -14.59%E -4.36%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-25 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.72%EV -9.55%E -4.62%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.49%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -15.87%E -4.81%K -6.90%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-25 21:31
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.69%EV -10.43%E -5.09%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.43%EV -12.19%E -4.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -8.22%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-25 23:22
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.83%EV -12.61%E -6.31%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.76%EV -12.19%E -4.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -12.04%E -3.49%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-25 23:23
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -12.61%E -6.31%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -13.73%E -4.90%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -18.42%E -5.76%K -8.37%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-25 21:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 43.18%EV -13.49%E -6.81%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.67%EV -16.81%E -6.23%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.15%EV -13.32%E -3.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-25 23:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 44.81%EV -18.73%E -10.07%K -21.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.31%EV -15.27%E -5.55%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.88%EV -14.59%E -4.36%K -6.21%G +0.000%20.0%2026-10-25 23:22
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 44.14%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.63%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.23%11.0%2026-10-26 01:20
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 42.91%2.76I 36.23%NM 31.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.00%16.5%2026-10-25 23:22