L’École des cotes

Al-Shabab v Al-Riyadh

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-23 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

25 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Shabab (Local)

Prévision 59.12%1.69cote équitable
EV -0.085%
Avantage -0.050%
Kelly -0.124%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.87%59.14%59.10%60.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.531.531.6968.03%65.16%65.36%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Riyadh (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.29%5.47cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.226%
Kelly -0.278%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.01%18.29%18.28%19.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.045.175.4022.22%19.84%19.34%18.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.59%4.43cote équitable
EV -5.14%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -1.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.72%22.57%22.62%25.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.944.004.2029.41%25.38%25.00%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (25 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.34%EV -0.085%E -0.050%K -0.124%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.96%EV -6.53%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.69%EV -7.62%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-23 18:55
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 58.94%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.36%EV -5.43%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.70%EV -5.59%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-23 18:55
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.18%E -4.57%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -8.54%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.17%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-23 16:30
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -8.36%E -5.39%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -4.88%E -0.938%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.65%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-23 15:50
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -8.36%E -5.39%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -13.11%E -2.76%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -15.30%E -4.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-23 16:29
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 57.31%EV -8.36%E -5.39%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -15.86%E -3.45%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -14.17%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-23 18:54
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -3.97%E -0.755%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -5.14%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-23 18:49
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -9.54%E -6.24%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -1.22%E -0.226%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.65%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 18:04
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -9.54%E -6.24%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -1.22%E -0.226%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.65%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 18:05
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -9.54%E -6.24%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -1.22%E -0.226%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.65%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 18:04
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -9.54%E -6.24%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -1.22%E -0.226%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.65%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 18:05
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -9.54%E -6.24%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -1.22%E -0.226%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.65%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 18:04
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -9.54%E -6.24%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -1.22%E -0.226%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.65%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 18:04
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 57.63%EV -9.54%E -6.24%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -15.86%E -3.45%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -14.17%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-23 18:55
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.63%EV -9.54%E -6.24%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -15.86%E -3.45%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -14.17%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-23 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.63%EV -9.54%E -6.24%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -15.86%E -3.45%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -14.17%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-23 18:55
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.38%EV -9.54%E -6.24%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -17.68%E -3.93%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -14.17%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-23 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -9.54%E -6.24%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -17.68%E -3.93%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -23.21%E -6.83%K -9.67%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-23 16:30
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.03%EV -10.14%E -6.67%K -19.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -8.54%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -5.14%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 18:50
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.27%EV -10.14%E -6.67%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.20%EV -9.45%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -9.65%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-23 18:55
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 59.98%EV -10.73%E -7.10%K -21.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.09%EV -3.05%E -0.576%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -10.78%E -2.73%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-23 18:05
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.58%EV -11.32%E -7.55%K -22.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -12.20%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -7.40%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-23 18:49
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 60.09%EV -12.50%E -8.45%K -26.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.10%EV -4.88%E -0.938%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -11.91%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-23 18:05
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 60.09%EV -12.50%E -8.45%K -26.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.10%EV -4.88%E -0.938%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -11.91%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-23 18:04
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.87%EV -13.09%E -8.91%K -27.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.04%EV -3.97%E -0.755%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.09%EV -8.52%E -2.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-23 18:48
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.94%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.1%2026-02-23 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.94%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.1%2026-02-23 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%1.5%2026-02-23 18:55
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 59.74%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18%2.7%2026-02-23 18:55