Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Riyadh v Al-Kholood

Inizio: 2026-09-13 18:00 UTC

Finale: Al-Riyadh 2–0 Al-Kholood

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Riyadh (Casa)

Previsione 22.07%4.53quota equa
EV +3.71%
Vantaggio +0.790%
Kelly +1.00%
Crescita +0.037%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.55%21.87%22.07%25.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.933.834.7029.41%25.44%26.14%21.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Al-Kholood (Trasferta)

Previsione 51.19%1.95quota equa
EV -1.72%
Vantaggio -0.898%
Kelly -1.87%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.07%51.13%51.16%53.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.831.831.9258.82%54.72%54.64%52.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.75%3.74quota equa
EV -2.64%
Vantaggio -0.725%
Kelly -1.000%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.36%27.00%26.77%28.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.313.303.6432.26%30.23%30.30%27.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Al-Riyadh (Casa): 22.07%; Al-Kholood (Trasferta): 51.19%; Pareggio: 26.75%. Per Al-Riyadh (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.53. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 4.70, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.71%.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV +3.71%E +0.790%K +1.00%G +0.037%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.42%EV -11.96%E -6.95%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 17:56
Pinnacle🎯4.51I 22.17%NM 21.06%EV -0.479%E -0.106%K -0.137%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.48%EV -7.35%E -4.06%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.46%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:56
SportsBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -2.91%E -0.661%K -0.855%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -9.40%E -5.31%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 17:45
Coral🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -4.45%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 17:56
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -4.45%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.33%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -4.45%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.69%EV -10.42%E -5.96%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 17:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -4.45%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.69%EV -10.42%E -5.96%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -6.33%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:35
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 17:40
Sky Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.43%EV -11.45%E -6.62%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-13 17:46
1xBet🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.55%EV -9.97%E -2.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.05%EV -1.72%E -0.898%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.40%EV -2.64%E -0.725%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 22.03%EV -12.17%E -3.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.57%EV -12.98%E -7.64%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.41%EV -11.20%E -3.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 17:34
Winamax (DE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -12.84%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.19%EV -12.84%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.25%EV -12.47%E -7.29%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.28%EV -15.04%E -3.91%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.36%EV -8.89%E -4.99%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 17:35
888sport🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -16.15%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -6.33%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -17.08%E -5.51%K -8.13%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 16:50
William Hill🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -16.15%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -6.33%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -17.08%E -5.51%K -8.13%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -16.15%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -6.33%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -17.08%E -5.51%K -8.13%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 16:46
888sport (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -16.15%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -6.33%E -3.46%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -17.08%E -5.51%K -8.13%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 16:50
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.74%EV -16.15%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.38%EV -10.42%E -5.96%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.88%EV -17.08%E -5.51%K -8.13%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-13 17:56
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -20.56%E -5.71%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -1.72%E -0.898%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -20.56%E -5.71%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -1.72%E -0.898%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -20.56%E -5.71%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -1.72%E -0.898%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 17:55
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -20.56%E -5.71%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -1.72%E -0.898%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -20.56%E -5.71%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -1.72%E -0.898%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 17:56
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -20.56%E -5.71%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -1.72%E -0.898%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -21.66%E -6.10%K -8.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.31%EV -3.26%E -1.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 17:56
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -21.66%E -6.10%K -8.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.31%EV -3.26%E -1.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -22.77%E -6.50%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.07%EV -3.77%E -2.01%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -14.41%E -4.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 17:56
PMU (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.22%EV -24.97%E -7.35%K -10.41%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 47.12%EV -6.84%E -3.76%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.66%EV -17.08%E -5.51%K -8.13%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-13 17:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.56%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67%1.3%2026-09-13 17:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-09-13 17:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-09-13 17:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-09-13 17:56
Kalshi◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.92%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%1.9%2026-09-13 17:10