L’École des cotes

Al-Qadsiah v Al-Taawoun

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

29 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Qadsiah (Local)

Prévision 68.26%1.46cote équitable
EV -3.07%
Avantage -2.16%
Kelly -7.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.69%68.20%68.50%69.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.351.361.4280.00%74.07%73.53%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Taawoun (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.41%7.46cote équitable
EV +4.59%
Avantage +0.589%
Kelly +0.676%
Croissance +0.031%

avec la cote maximale 7.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.76%13.40%13.11%14.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.706.757.8016.67%14.92%14.81%12.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.33%5.46cote équitable
EV -0.835%
Avantage -0.154%
Kelly -0.189%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.47%18.40%18.39%20.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.784.705.4123.81%20.92%21.28%18.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.50%K -30.93%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV +4.59%E +0.589%K +0.676%G +0.031%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -10.18%E -2.08%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 18:49
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -11.26%E -8.66%K -37.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +0.572%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -8.35%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 18:45
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -11.26%E -8.66%K -37.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +0.572%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -8.35%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 18:43
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 69.13%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.52%G +0.000%7.32I 13.66%NM 12.94%EV -1.84%E -0.252%K -0.291%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 17.94%EV -3.22%E -0.609%K -0.752%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 18:39
1xBet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.52%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.21I 13.87%NM 13.49%EV -3.32%E -0.460%K -0.534%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.98%EV -0.835%E -0.154%K -0.189%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-28 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.44%E -3.17%K -11.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -8.35%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 18:15
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.44%E -3.17%K -11.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -8.35%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 18:14
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -8.35%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 18:29
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -11.26%E -8.66%K -37.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.93%E -2.72%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 18:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.88%EV -11.26%E -8.66%K -37.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.70%EV -23.01%E -5.48%K -7.19%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-28 18:45
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.87%EV -14.67%E -11.74%K -58.70%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.66%EV -7.47%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.47%EV -8.35%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%14.5%2026-02-28 18:34
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -13.85%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 08:59
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -13.85%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -13.85%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 08:58
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -13.85%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 08:59
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -13.85%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 08:59
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -13.85%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 08:59
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 67.73%EV -9.90%E -7.50%K -30.93%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 13.65%EV -12.17%E -1.86%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -12.02%E -2.50%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 18:54
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.17%E -5.27%K -19.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -15.68%E -3.41%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.17%E -5.27%K -19.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -15.68%E -3.41%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 18:10
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 66.35%EV -8.53%E -6.37%K -25.09%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.89%EV -14.18%E -2.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -17.52%E -3.89%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 18:09
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 66.35%EV -8.53%E -6.37%K -25.09%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.89%EV -14.18%E -2.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -17.52%E -3.89%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 18:09
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.54%EV -7.85%E -5.81%K -22.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -16.19%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -6.52%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 18:30
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -7.17%E -5.27%K -19.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.54%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -15.68%E -3.41%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 18:55
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -7.17%E -5.27%K -19.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.54%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -15.68%E -3.41%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -7.17%E -5.27%K -19.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.54%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -15.68%E -3.41%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 18:54
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -7.17%E -5.27%K -19.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.54%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -15.68%E -3.41%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 18:54
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.97%EV -9.21%E -6.93%K -27.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.85%EV -19.54%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.18%EV -10.18%E -2.08%K -2.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 18:30
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 66.42%EV -11.26%E -8.66%K -37.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.39%EV -19.54%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.19%EV -17.52%E -3.89%K -5.00%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-28 18:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.29%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%0.9%2026-02-28 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.29%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%0.9%2026-02-28 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.29%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%0.9%2026-02-28 18:45
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.84%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.33%3.0%2026-02-28 18:54