Language:English
Al-Qadsiah v Al-Ittihad
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Qadsiah (Local)
Prediction 69.11%1.45fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -3.35%
Kelly -12.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.77%68.98%68.95%71.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.331.331.3880.00%75.13%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Ittihad (Visit)
Prediction 14.15%7.07fair odd
EV +16.76%
Edge +2.03%
Kelly +2.31%
Growth +0.388%
assuming max odds 8.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.08%14.29%14.22%15.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.396.458.2518.18%15.66%15.50%12.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.73%5.98fair odd
EV +0.739%
Edge +0.123%
Kelly +0.147%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 6.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.84%16.74%16.83%18.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.145.006.0221.74%19.46%20.00%16.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Qadsiah (Local): 69.11%; Al-Ittihad (Visit): 14.15%; Draw: 16.73%. For Al-Ittihad (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.07. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -12.23%E -9.63%K -45.28%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.08%EV +16.76%E +2.03%K +2.31%G +0.388% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.93%EV -9.64%E -1.78%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -13.61%E -10.89%K -54.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV +13.23%E +1.65%K +1.89%G +0.250% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.33%E -3.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-21 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -13.61%E -10.89%K -54.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV +13.23%E +1.65%K +1.89%G +0.250% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.33%E -3.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-21 17:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -10.84%E -8.41%K -37.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV +6.15%E +0.820%K +0.946%G +0.058% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -16.33%E -3.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-21 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.34%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 7.17I 13.95%NM 13.54%EV +1.48%E +0.206%K +0.240%G +0.004% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 16.12%EV +0.739%E +0.123%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-08-21 17:53 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.08%E -6.08%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -0.928%E -0.133%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -16.33%E -3.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-21 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -10.15%E -7.81%K -33.84%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -3.76%E -0.553%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.84%EV -2.94%E -0.507%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 17:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.35%EV -6.87%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.82I 17.18%NM 16.22%EV -2.61%E -0.448%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.17%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.00%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -3.78%E -0.657%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.00%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -7.96%E -1.45%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-21 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.39%E -5.51%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -8.00%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -7.96%E -1.45%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-21 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -8.08%E -6.08%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -8.00%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -16.33%E -3.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-21 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -10.15%E -7.81%K -33.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -8.00%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -16.33%E -3.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-21 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -10.15%E -7.81%K -33.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -8.00%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -16.33%E -3.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-21 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -10.15%E -7.81%K -33.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -8.00%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -16.33%E -3.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-21 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.93%EV -8.77%E -6.64%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.22%EV -9.42%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.85%EV -9.64%E -1.78%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -8.08%E -6.08%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -15.08%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -16.33%E -3.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-21 17:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.99%EV -7.39%E -5.51%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.44%EV -16.50%E -2.80%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.96%E -1.45%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 17:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.81%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -17.91%E -3.09%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -18.00%E -3.67%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-21 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.81%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -17.91%E -3.09%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -18.00%E -3.67%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-21 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.81%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -17.91%E -3.09%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -18.00%E -3.67%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-21 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.81%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -17.91%E -3.09%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -18.00%E -3.67%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-21 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.81%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -17.91%E -3.09%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -18.00%E -3.67%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-21 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.81%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -17.91%E -3.09%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -18.00%E -3.67%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-21 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.96%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.49%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -19.68%E -4.10%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-21 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.37%EV -8.08%E -6.08%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.72%EV -19.33%E -3.39%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.91%EV -11.31%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.77%EV -8.08%E -6.08%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.62%EV -20.74%E -3.70%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.61%EV -21.35%E -4.54%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-21 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.77%EV -8.08%E -6.08%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.62%EV -20.74%E -3.70%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.61%EV -21.35%E -4.54%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-21 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.83%EV -10.15%E -7.81%K -33.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.80%EV -22.16%E -4.03%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -16.33%E -3.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 65.83%EV -10.15%E -7.81%K -33.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.56%EV -22.16%E -4.03%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.61%EV -23.02%E -5.01%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-21 17:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 17:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.54% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.00% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46% | 1.3% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.93% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.64% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.4% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.93% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.64% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.4% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.57% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.74% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69% | 1.9% | 2026-08-21 17:35 |