L’École des cotes

Al-Qadsiah v Al-Ettifaq

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-23 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

26 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Qadsiah (Local)

Prévision 71.60%1.40cote équitable
EV -6.92%
Avantage -5.32%
Kelly -23.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.73%71.49%71.83%74.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.261.271.3081.97%79.10%79.05%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Ettifaq (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.71%8.54cote équitable
EV +15.07%
Avantage +1.53%
Kelly +1.71%
Croissance +0.257%

avec la cote maximale 9.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.84%11.78%11.57%12.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.008.088.009.8314.29%12.38%12.50%10.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 16.69%5.99cote équitable
EV +2.32%
Avantage +0.379%
Kelly +0.453%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 6.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.78%16.74%16.60%19.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.355.406.1322.22%18.68%18.52%16.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (26 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.39%EV -6.92%E -5.32%K -23.06%G +0.000%9.83I 10.17%NM 9.84%EV +15.07%E +1.53%K +1.71%G +0.257%6.13I 16.31%NM 15.78%EV +2.32%E +0.379%K +0.453%G +0.011%3.4%2026-02-23 18:55
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.07%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -0.499%E -0.059%K -0.067%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -9.86%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 18:04
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.07%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -0.499%E -0.059%K -0.067%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -9.86%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 18:05
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 72.07%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -0.499%E -0.059%K -0.067%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -9.86%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 18:05
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.07%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -0.499%E -0.059%K -0.067%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -9.86%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 18:04
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 72.07%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -0.499%E -0.059%K -0.067%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -9.86%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 18:04
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.07%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -0.499%E -0.059%K -0.067%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -9.86%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 18:04
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -10.50%E -8.40%K -41.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -0.499%E -0.059%K -0.067%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -8.19%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-23 18:45
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -12.65%E -10.37%K -57.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -0.499%E -0.059%K -0.067%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -8.19%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-23 18:44
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 72.65%EV -6.92%E -5.32%K -23.06%G +0.000%8.31I 12.03%NM 11.37%EV -2.72%E -0.328%K -0.373%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 15.98%EV -1.35%E -0.229%K -0.275%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-23 18:55
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.92%E -5.32%K -23.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -6.35%E -0.794%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -8.19%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-23 18:49
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.38%EV -9.07%E -7.14%K -33.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -6.35%E -0.794%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -4.86%E -0.852%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-23 12:44
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 71.90%EV -9.78%E -7.76%K -37.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -6.35%E -0.794%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -9.86%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-23 18:05
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 71.88%EV -11.21%E -9.04%K -46.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -6.35%E -0.794%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -12.37%E -2.36%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-23 18:04
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 71.88%EV -11.21%E -9.04%K -46.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -6.35%E -0.794%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -12.37%E -2.36%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-23 18:05
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.50%E -8.40%K -41.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -6.35%E -0.794%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.54%E -3.31%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-23 18:55
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.50%E -8.40%K -41.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -6.35%E -0.794%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.54%E -3.31%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-23 18:54
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.50%E -8.40%K -41.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -6.35%E -0.794%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.54%E -3.31%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-23 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.50%E -8.40%K -41.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -6.35%E -0.794%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.54%E -3.31%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-23 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.73%EV -10.50%E -8.40%K -41.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -6.35%E -0.794%K -0.907%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -24.89%E -5.53%K -7.11%G +0.000%14.7%2026-02-23 18:19
Betclic (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 71.96%EV -11.21%E -9.04%K -46.72%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.51%EV -9.28%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.52%EV -9.86%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-23 18:48
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -10.50%E -8.40%K -41.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -12.20%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -12.37%E -2.36%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-23 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 70.92%EV -9.07%E -7.14%K -33.58%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.09%EV -12.79%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.99%EV -11.53%E -2.18%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-23 18:55
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.37%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.82%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.60%EV -15.13%E -2.09%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.03%EV -4.86%E -0.852%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-23 18:50
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 70.80%EV -9.07%E -7.14%K -33.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -18.06%E -2.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -8.19%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-23 18:49
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.50%E -8.40%K -41.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -18.06%E -2.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -16.54%E -3.31%K -4.14%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-23 18:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.72%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.4%2026-02-23 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.72%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.4%2026-02-23 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.72%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.4%2026-02-23 18:50
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 74.19%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.26%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.55%3.7%2026-02-23 18:50