La scuola delle quote

Al-Qadsiah v Al-Ahli

Inizio: 2026-03-13 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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29 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Qadsiah (Casa)

Previsione 39.80%2.51quota equa
EV -2.48%
Vantaggio -1.01%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.44%39.78%39.83%40.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.332.302.4546.51%42.89%43.48%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Ahli (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.95%3.04quota equa
EV -5.44%
Vantaggio -1.89%
Kelly -2.91%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.16%32.87%33.09%35.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.482.682.752.8740.32%37.29%36.36%34.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.25%3.67quota equa
EV -3.27%
Vantaggio -0.921%
Kelly -1.28%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.58%27.35%27.08%28.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.323.353.5533.33%30.08%29.85%28.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -15.98%E -6.27%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -5.99%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 18:05
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -15.98%E -6.27%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -5.99%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 18:05
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -15.98%E -6.27%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -5.99%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 18:04
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -15.98%E -6.27%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -5.99%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 18:04
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -15.98%E -6.27%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -5.99%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 18:05
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -15.98%E -6.27%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -5.99%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 18:05
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -15.98%E -6.27%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.36%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -15.98%E -6.27%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.36%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 18:04
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.17%EV -5.44%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -3.27%E -0.921%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 18:50
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -7.74%E -2.77%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.72%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 14:15
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.45%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.94%EV -18.29%E -7.37%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -8.72%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-13 18:05
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.45%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.94%EV -18.29%E -7.37%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -8.72%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-13 18:05
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.95%EV -5.67%E -2.39%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -5.44%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.63%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.32%EV -5.67%E -2.39%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -7.74%E -2.77%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.36%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 14:15
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.74%E -2.77%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.36%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:44
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.74%E -2.77%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.08%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 18:49
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -11.04%E -4.09%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.36%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 14:15
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.53%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 32.59%EV -8.07%E -2.89%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 27.89%EV -11.17%E -3.43%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-13 18:54
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -7.74%E -2.77%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -11.44%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-13 18:50
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -9.39%E -3.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.81%E -4.00%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-13 18:50
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -12.69%E -4.79%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -10.08%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-13 14:15
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -9.39%E -3.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -15.53%E -5.01%K -7.40%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-13 18:30
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -9.39%E -3.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -15.53%E -5.01%K -7.40%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-13 18:35
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -9.39%E -3.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -15.53%E -5.01%K -7.40%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-13 18:30
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -9.39%E -3.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -15.53%E -5.01%K -7.40%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-13 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.24%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -14.33%E -5.51%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -18.26%E -6.09%K -9.13%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-13 18:25
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -11.24%E -5.04%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.24%EV -7.09%E -2.51%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.98%EV -8.17%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-13 18:34
Unibet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.26%EV -11.64%E -5.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -9.39%E -3.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.25%EV -10.63%E -3.24%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-13 18:54
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.19%EV -14.42%E -6.71%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.23%EV -14.33%E -5.51%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.58%EV -11.44%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-13 18:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63%1.9%2026-03-13 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63%1.9%2026-03-13 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.14%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.21%2.1%2026-03-13 18:55
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 39.94%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%3.5%2026-03-13 18:55