Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Qadsiah v Al-Ahli

Inizio: 2026-09-08 18:00 UTC

Finale: Al-Qadsiah 3–2 Al-Ahli

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Qadsiah (Casa)

Previsione 47.92%2.09quota equa
EV -4.16%
Vantaggio -2.08%
Kelly -4.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.35%47.99%47.81%50.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.771.891.882.0056.50%53.04%53.19%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Al-Ahli (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.81%3.73quota equa
EV -3.49%
Vantaggio -0.971%
Kelly -1.34%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.55%26.69%26.91%27.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.363.353.6032.26%29.79%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.27%3.96quota equa
EV -3.97%
Vantaggio -1.04%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.03%25.32%25.28%26.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.563.603.8030.30%28.07%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Al-Qadsiah (Casa): 47.92%; Al-Ahli (Trasferta): 26.81%; Pareggio: 25.27%. Per Al-Ahli (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.73. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.60, con un valore atteso del -3.49%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.18%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -9.02%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.18%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -9.02%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 16:50
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.78%EV -4.64%E -2.33%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -5.23%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 17:50
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.66%EV -6.07%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.61%EV -5.91%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.73%EV -8.27%E -2.28%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.86%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -9.02%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -7.76%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 17:35
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -8.47%E -4.43%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -5.23%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 17:00
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -8.47%E -4.43%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.61%E -5.03%K -7.22%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 17:25
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -8.47%E -4.43%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.61%E -5.03%K -7.22%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 17:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -8.47%E -4.43%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.61%E -5.03%K -7.22%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -8.47%E -4.43%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.61%E -5.03%K -7.22%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 17:25
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -8.95%E -4.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.18%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.02%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 16:50
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -9.91%E -5.27%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -9.02%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -9.91%E -5.27%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -9.02%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -9.91%E -5.27%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -9.02%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -9.91%E -5.27%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -9.02%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -9.91%E -5.27%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -9.02%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.60%EV -9.91%E -5.27%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -9.02%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-08 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.68%EV -10.39%E -5.55%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.24%EV -6.98%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.08%EV -8.27%E -2.28%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 17:33
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.49%EV -10.39%E -5.55%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.86%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -7.76%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 17:55
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -10.39%E -5.55%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.86%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.02%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -10.39%E -5.55%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.86%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.02%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 17:50
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -11.34%E -6.13%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.30%E -6.72%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.49%E -0.971%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.97%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.31%EV -12.30%E -6.72%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.10%EV -12.78%E -7.02%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -12.82%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-08 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.08%EV -12.78%E -7.02%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-08 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.38%EV -13.26%E -7.33%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.95%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -10.29%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-08 17:55
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -13.74%E -7.63%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.90%E -5.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -9.02%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-08 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 48.40%EV -15.18%E -8.58%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -14.22%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.83%EV -12.82%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-08 17:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.24%0.3%2026-09-08 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.24%0.3%2026-09-08 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-09-08 17:55
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55%1.7%2026-09-08 17:55
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-09-08 17:40