L’École des cotes

Al-Okhdood v Al-Fayha

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

29 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Okhdood (Local)

Prévision 24.62%4.06cote équitable
EV +1.93%
Avantage +0.465%
Kelly +0.613%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 4.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.43%24.66%24.58%25.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.643.604.1428.99%27.49%27.78%24.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Fayha (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.74%2.09cote équitable
EV -3.56%
Avantage -1.76%
Kelly -3.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.26%47.71%47.86%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.921.932.0254.64%52.06%51.81%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.64%3.62cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -0.689%
Kelly -0.961%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.95%27.63%27.56%29.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.263.303.5334.72%30.72%30.30%28.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet4.14I 24.15%NM 23.43%EV +1.93%E +0.465%K +0.613%G +0.012%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03%EV -3.56%E -1.76%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.54%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 18:50
Pinnacle3.92I 25.51%NM 24.27%EV -3.49%E -0.891%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.78%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.95%EV -2.43%E -0.689%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 17:19
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -9.29%E -4.89%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 17:30
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 13:19
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.99%EV -5.47%E -2.76%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 13:19
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 13:20
Betclic (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -9.29%E -4.89%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 18:34
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -10.14%E -2.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.93%EV -6.43%E -3.28%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 18:09
Unibet (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -10.14%E -2.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -9.77%E -5.17%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 18:55
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 18:55
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 18:54
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 18:55
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 18:54
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -7.86%E -4.07%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 18:09
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -8.82%E -4.62%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-07 16:04
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -11.68%E -6.31%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-07 18:49
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -11.68%E -6.31%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-07 18:49
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -11.68%E -6.31%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-07 18:50
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -11.68%E -6.31%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-07 18:50
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -12.60%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.05%EV -7.38%E -3.81%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -7.41%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:49
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -12.60%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -7.86%E -4.07%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 18:55
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -13.83%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.80%EV -9.29%E -4.89%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-07 18:55
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -13.83%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.80%EV -9.29%E -4.89%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-07 18:55
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.83%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -8.82%E -4.62%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-07 13:19
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -13.83%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.94%EV -12.64%E -6.90%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-07 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.23%EV -13.83%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.33%EV -12.64%E -6.90%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.44%EV -20.40%E -7.08%K -10.85%G +0.000%17.9%2026-03-07 13:19
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -15.06%E -4.37%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.57%EV -8.34%E -4.34%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 14:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-03-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-03-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%1.9%2026-03-07 18:10
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-03-07 18:10
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.56%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.75%3.0%2026-03-07 18:55