Language:English
Al-Okhdood v Al-Ettifaq
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Okhdood (Local)
Prediction 24.58%4.07fair odd
EV -6.12%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.08%24.58%24.60%30.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.343.403.8234.48%29.90%29.41%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Ettifaq (Visit)
Prediction 49.91%2.00fair odd
EV +3.31%
Edge +1.60%
Kelly +3.10%
Growth +0.103%
assuming max odds 2.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.39%49.91%49.89%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.901.832.0758.14%52.73%54.79%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.52%3.92fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -0.731%
Kelly -0.992%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.17%25.52%25.51%27.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.563.553.8132.26%28.11%28.17%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Okhdood (Local): 24.58%; Al-Ettifaq (Visit): 49.91%; Draw: 25.52%. For Al-Ettifaq (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.31%.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -25.05%E -8.21%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV +3.31%E +1.60%K +3.10%G +0.103% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -25.05%E -8.21%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV +3.31%E +1.60%K +3.10%G +0.103% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -25.05%E -8.21%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV +3.31%E +1.60%K +3.10%G +0.103% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -25.05%E -8.21%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV +3.31%E +1.60%K +3.10%G +0.103% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -25.05%E -8.21%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV +3.31%E +1.60%K +3.10%G +0.103% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -25.05%E -8.21%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV +3.31%E +1.60%K +3.10%G +0.103% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -26.27%E -8.76%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV +2.31%E +1.13%K +2.20%G +0.051% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -26.27%E -8.76%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV +2.31%E +1.13%K +2.20%G +0.051% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -27.50%E -9.32%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.46%EV -0.182%E -0.091%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -27.50%E -9.32%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.46%EV -0.182%E -0.091%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -28.73%E -9.91%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.60%EV -1.68%E -0.852%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.49%EV -6.12%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.57%EV -7.67%E -4.14%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 19:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -7.67%E -4.14%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.54%EV -2.79%E -0.731%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.16%E -5.65%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.07%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.16%E -5.65%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -3.04%E -0.800%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.53%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -10.16%E -5.65%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -11.53%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -10.16%E -5.65%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -11.53%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -10.16%E -5.65%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -11.53%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -10.16%E -5.65%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -11.53%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -10.16%E -5.65%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-23 20:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 24.60%EV -10.79%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.89%EV -10.66%E -5.96%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 18:23 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -11.53%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.07%EV -11.66%E -6.59%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.62%EV -16.44%E -4.84%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.49%EV -12.16%E -6.91%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-23 18:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -16.44%E -4.84%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -12.66%E -7.23%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.08%EV -13.99%E -4.00%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.72%EV -13.66%E -7.89%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.19%EV -20.90%E -6.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -18.90%E -5.73%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 49.15%EV -14.16%E -8.23%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.23%EV -14.52%E -4.34%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-04-23 18:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 48.76% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.00% | 16.5% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |