Langue:Français
Al-Nassr v Al-Taawoun
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Nassr (Local)
Prévision 74.50%1.34cote équitable
EV -4.64%
Avantage -3.62%
Kelly -16.55%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.76%74.51%74.48%78.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.181.231.221.2884.75%81.59%81.97%78.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Al-Taawoun (Visiteur)
Prévision 10.44%9.58cote équitable
EV +11.71%
Avantage +1.09%
Kelly +1.21%
Croissance +0.141%
avec la cote maximale 10.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.73%10.40%10.56%11.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.508.828.5010.7013.33%11.33%11.76%9.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 15.06%6.64cote équitable
EV +17.14%
Avantage +2.20%
Kelly +2.53%
Croissance +0.433%
avec la cote maximale 7.78
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.50%15.08%14.96%16.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.205.825.507.7819.23%17.18%18.18%12.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Al-Nassr (Local) : 74.50% ; Al-Taawoun (Visiteur) : 10.44% ; Match nul : 15.06%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.64. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.78, soit une espérance positive de +17.14%.
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.41%EV -7.62%E -6.14%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 10.70I 9.35%NM 9.09%EV +11.71%E +1.09%K +1.21%G +0.141% | 7.78I 12.85%NM 12.50%EV +17.14%E +2.20%K +2.53%G +0.433% | 2.8% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.28%EV -8.36%E -6.80%K -36.35%G +0.000% | 9.85I 10.15%NM 9.53%EV +2.83%E +0.288%K +0.320%G +0.009% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.19%EV -0.479%E -0.073%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-28 17:46 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.21%EV -4.64%E -3.62%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.26%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -2.14%E -0.329%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.21%EV -4.64%E -3.62%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.26%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -2.14%E -0.329%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.77%EV -8.36%E -6.80%K -36.35%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -19.09%E -2.46%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -5.90%E -0.944%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-28 17:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.46%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -52.98%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV +9.62%E +0.916%K +1.01%G +0.097% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -6.65%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 17:31 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.48%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -6.04%E -0.671%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -9.66%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-28 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.09%EV -8.36%E -6.80%K -36.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -11.26%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -9.66%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-28 17:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -52.98%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -11.26%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -9.66%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -52.98%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -11.26%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -9.66%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -52.98%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -11.26%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -9.66%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -9.11%E -7.46%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -21.70%E -2.89%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -9.66%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-28 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.74%EV -9.85%E -8.14%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV +9.62%E +0.916%K +1.01%G +0.097% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.53%EV -11.17%E -1.89%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-28 17:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.56%EV -11.34%E -9.53%K -59.69%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.08%EV -17.52%E -2.22%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.36%EV -14.18%E -2.49%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-28 17:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.48%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -6.04%E -0.671%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -17.19%E -3.13%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -11.26%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -17.19%E -3.13%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-28 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -11.26%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -17.19%E -3.13%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-28 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -11.26%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -17.19%E -3.13%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-28 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -11.26%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -17.19%E -3.13%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-28 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -11.26%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -17.19%E -3.13%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-28 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -11.26%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -17.19%E -3.13%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-28 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -9.11%E -7.46%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -6.04%E -0.671%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -17.19%E -3.13%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-28 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -52.98%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV +4.40%E +0.440%K +0.489%G +0.022% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -17.19%E -3.13%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -52.98%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV +4.40%E +0.440%K +0.489%G +0.022% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -17.19%E -3.13%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -52.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -6.04%E -0.671%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -17.19%E -3.13%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -9.11%E -7.46%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.48%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -17.19%E -3.13%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-28 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.02%EV -9.11%E -7.46%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -11.26%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -18.70%E -3.46%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-28 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.96%EV -9.85%E -8.14%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -11.26%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.66%EV -20.20%E -3.81%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-28 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.96%EV -9.85%E -8.14%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -11.26%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.66%EV -20.20%E -3.81%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-28 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 73.22%EV -12.09%E -10.24%K -67.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.16%EV -11.26%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.62%EV -21.71%E -4.17%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.00% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 0.7% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.00% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 0.7% | 2026-08-28 17:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.00% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 0.7% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.00% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 0.7% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.39% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.85% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77% | 1.7% | 2026-08-28 17:20 |