赔率学院

Al-Nassr v Al-Ahli

开赛时间： 2026-04-29 18:00 UTC

最终结果： Al-Nassr 2–0 Al-Ahli

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

28 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Al-Nassr (主队)

预测 48.54%2.06公平赔率
EV -2.93%
优势 -1.46%
Kelly -2.93%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
45.60%48.65%48.34%50.25%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.781.911.902.0056.18%52.48%52.49%50.00%MIN均值中位数MAX

Al-Ahli (客队)

预测 26.61%3.76公平赔率
EV -4.20%
优势 -1.17%
Kelly -1.62%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
25.55%26.43%26.68%29.52%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.953.213.173.6033.90%31.19%31.50%27.78%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 24.85%4.02公平赔率
EV -4.06%
优势 -1.05%
Kelly -1.42%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.86

博彩公司预测分布
23.99%24.91%24.98%26.68%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.203.603.633.8631.25%27.81%27.59%25.91%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -2.93%E -1.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -17.51%E -5.65%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 12:39
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -2.93%E -1.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -17.51%E -5.65%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 12:39
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -2.93%E -1.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -17.51%E -5.65%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 12:39
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -2.93%E -1.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -17.51%E -5.65%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 12:39
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -2.93%E -1.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -17.51%E -5.65%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 12:39
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -2.93%E -1.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -17.51%E -5.65%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -4.87%E -2.48%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -18.84%E -6.18%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 12:39
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -4.87%E -2.48%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -18.84%E -6.18%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 12:39
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.35%E -2.75%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.52%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 45.72%EV -6.33%E -3.28%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.42%EV -20.17%E -6.72%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 12:39
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 45.72%EV -6.33%E -3.28%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.42%EV -20.17%E -6.72%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 12:39
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.30%E -3.82%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.48%EV -6.07%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:05
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.30%E -3.82%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 05:24
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.60%EV -7.30%E -3.82%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -21.50%E -7.29%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-23 12:39
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -7.78%E -4.10%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.19%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 20:01
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -7.78%E -4.10%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -13.52%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 20:01
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 49.46%EV -8.27%E -4.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.22%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 07:15
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.26%EV -10.21%E -5.52%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.81%EV -11.39%E -3.42%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.94%EV -11.02%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 05:25
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -10.21%E -5.52%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -12.19%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -15.50%E -4.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 04:04
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -10.21%E -5.52%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -12.19%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -15.50%E -4.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 04:04
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -10.21%E -5.52%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -12.19%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -15.50%E -4.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 04:05
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -10.21%E -5.52%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -12.19%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -15.50%E -4.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 04:05
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 46.61%EV -10.21%E -5.52%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.75%EV -20.17%E -6.72%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-22 20:00
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.34%EV -10.69%E -5.81%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -12.19%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 18:05
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -11.18%E -6.11%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.20%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -11.18%E -6.11%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.68%EV -14.85%E -4.64%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.68%EV -20.47%E -6.40%K -9.30%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-22 20:00
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 47.84%EV -11.66%E -6.41%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.64%EV -16.18%E -5.14%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.52%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-23 05:24
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 47.63%EV -13.61%E -7.64%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.80%EV -18.84%E -6.18%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.57%EV -14.25%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-23 05:24
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 47.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.61%16.5%2026-04-23 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 42.77%2.86I 34.97%NM 28.41%2.82I 35.46%NM 28.82%23.1%2026-04-23 21:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 42.77%2.86I 34.97%NM 28.41%2.82I 35.46%NM 28.82%23.1%2026-04-23 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 42.77%2.86I 34.97%NM 28.41%2.82I 35.46%NM 28.82%23.1%2026-04-23 21:20