La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Al-Najma v Al-Hazem
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Najma (Local)
Predicción 30.13%3.32momio equitativo
EV +2.45%
Ventaja +0.720%
Kelly +1.02%
Crecimiento +0.025%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.92%29.77%30.15%31.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.043.053.4035.71%32.95%32.79%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Hazem (Visitante)
Predicción 43.93%2.28momio equitativo
EV -3.80%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -3.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.32%44.26%43.95%46.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.072.102.1951.28%48.30%47.62%45.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.94%3.85momio equitativo
EV -3.24%
Ventaja -0.868%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.72%25.97%25.89%28.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.413.403.7333.33%29.30%29.41%26.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +2.45%E +0.720%K +1.02%G +0.025% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -14.34%E -7.36%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 16:15 |
| 1xBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -0.566%E -0.172%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -3.80%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.53%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.58%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.75%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.61%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.09%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.75%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.09%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.75%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.09%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.75%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| Grosvenor | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.09%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.75%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.09%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.75%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.09%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.75%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| Pinnacle | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.34%EV -5.39%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.11%EV -5.12%E -2.37%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.54%EV -3.24%E -0.868%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.59%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.75%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.59%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.75%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 16:15 |
| LeoVegas | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -6.59%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.81%EV -8.63%E -4.15%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -8.10%E -2.66%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -8.10%E -2.66%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.72%EV -10.39%E -5.09%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -8.10%E -2.66%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.72%EV -10.39%E -5.09%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.04%EV -9.00%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.26%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.70%EV -8.43%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 16:12 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.75%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 16:12 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.75%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 16:15 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.75%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.80%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.58%EV -11.27%E -5.58%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -15.69%E -4.83%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -12.62%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.18%EV -7.75%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -7.91%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| Sky Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.62%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.75%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -12.62%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -12.62%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -12.62%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -13.22%E -4.59%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -12.15%E -6.07%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -22.17%E -7.39%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.21%EV -14.13%E -4.96%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.38%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.41%EV -14.13%E -4.96%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.33%EV -12.15%E -6.07%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.26%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.98%EV -15.63%E -5.58%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.32%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -15.69%E -4.83%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-09 16:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -15.63%E -5.58%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -14.34%E -7.36%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.48% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.81% | 3.6% | 2026-05-09 16:15 |
| Kalshi | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.50% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.74% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 16:15 |