默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Kholood v Al-Taawoun

开赛时间: 2026-08-22 16:10 UTC

最终结果: Al-Kholood 3–2 Al-Taawoun

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Kholood (主队)

预测 32.22%3.10公平赔率
EV -4.94%
优势 -1.68%
Kelly -2.53%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.95

博彩公司预测分布
31.17%32.12%32.23%34.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.622.802.802.9538.17%35.72%35.71%33.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Taawoun (客队)

预测 40.16%2.49公平赔率
EV -2.81%
优势 -1.16%
Kelly -1.98%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.42

博彩公司预测分布
38.34%40.11%40.18%41.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.082.262.262.4248.08%44.33%44.25%41.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.62%3.62公平赔率
EV -3.34%
优势 -0.955%
Kelly -1.34%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.68%27.77%27.59%29.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.273.303.5033.33%30.55%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Al-Kholood (主队):32.22%;Al-Taawoun (客队):40.16%;平局:27.62%。 对于“Al-Taawoun (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.49。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.42,期望值为-2.81%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -4.94%E -1.68%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -11.65%E -5.29%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 06:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -4.94%E -1.68%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -11.65%E -5.29%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 06:14
Pinnacle🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.42%EV -5.26%E -1.79%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.38%EV -2.81%E -1.16%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.20%EV -6.66%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -4.82%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 07:54
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -4.82%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 07:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.94%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.81%EV -8.84%E -3.89%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 07:00
1xBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.36%EV -6.88%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.46%EV -4.82%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.17%EV -8.31%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -7.20%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -12.45%E -5.71%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -7.20%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -12.45%E -5.71%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -7.20%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -12.45%E -5.71%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -7.20%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -12.45%E -5.71%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 15:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 07:00
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -11.65%E -5.29%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 15:19
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -11.65%E -5.29%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.67%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.05%EV -13.25%E -6.14%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 15:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.29%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.33%EV -14.86%E -7.01%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-19 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.29%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.33%EV -14.86%E -7.01%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-19 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.39%E -4.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.62%E -1.51%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.34%E -0.955%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 15:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.39%E -4.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.64%E -4.28%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 07:00
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.39%E -4.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -17.15%E -5.72%K -8.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-22 12:00
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.39%E -4.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -17.15%E -5.72%K -8.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-22 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.39%E -4.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -17.15%E -5.72%K -8.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-22 11:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.39%E -4.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -17.15%E -5.72%K -8.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-22 11:59
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.00%E -4.81%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -5.62%E -2.39%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -13.00%E -4.81%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.65%E -5.29%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 07:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.56%EV -13.00%E -4.81%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 40.96%EV -16.47%E -7.92%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.48%EV -14.39%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%17.4%2026-08-22 15:19
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -15.25%E -5.80%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 15:00
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -15.58%E -5.94%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -4.42%E -1.86%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 14:59
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -15.58%E -5.94%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-22 14:58
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 32.94%EV -15.58%E -5.94%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.23%EV -11.65%E -5.29%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -14.39%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-22 06:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 32.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.98%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.99%0.1%2026-08-22 07:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.81%1.3%2026-08-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.16%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63%1.9%2026-08-22 15:20
Smarkets◎3.05I 32.79%NM 31.93%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.24%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.83%2.7%2026-08-22 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 32.82%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.37%2.9%2026-08-22 15:20