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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Al-Kholood v Al-Shabab

开赛时间： 2026-09-09 15:55 UTC

最终结果： Al-Kholood 2–1 Al-Shabab

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Kholood (主队)

预测 29.10%3.44公平赔率
EV -2.79%
优势 -0.835%
Kelly -1.19%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.34

博彩公司预测分布
28.46%29.27%29.21%31.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.703.023.003.3437.04%33.17%33.33%29.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Shabab (客队)

预测 45.23%2.21公平赔率
EV -1.40%
优势 -0.642%
Kelly -1.19%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.18

博彩公司预测分布
41.50%45.07%45.21%46.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.912.062.052.1852.36%48.60%48.78%45.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.67%3.90公平赔率
EV -2.21%
优势 -0.581%
Kelly -0.788%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.81

博彩公司预测分布
24.90%25.66%25.58%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.463.423.8131.25%28.90%29.20%26.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Al-Kholood (主队)：29.10%；Al-Shabab (客队)：45.23%；平局：25.67%。 对于“Al-Shabab (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.21。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.18，期望值为-1.40%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.46%EV -2.79%E -0.835%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.92%EV -6.38%E -3.08%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.62%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 15:40
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 15:41
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 15:50
1xBet🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 30.04%EV -5.99%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.50%EV -1.40%E -0.642%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.46%EV -2.21%E -0.581%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-09 15:45
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.54%E -4.77%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 15:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.59%EV -9.54%E -4.77%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.47%EV -8.12%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 15:35
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 15:41
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.54%E -4.77%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 15:50
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.80%E -6.05%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.80%E -6.05%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 15:45
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.80%E -6.05%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -11.23%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.15%EV -10.45%E -5.28%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 15:50
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.54%E -4.77%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-09 15:36
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.54%E -4.77%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-09 15:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.54%E -4.77%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-09 15:36
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.54%E -4.77%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-09 15:41
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.25%EV -10.45%E -5.28%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-09 15:50
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -13.61%E -7.13%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-09 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -14.14%E -4.79%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 15:41
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -16.18%E -5.62%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.53%EV -1.40%E -0.642%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -14.02%E -4.18%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 15:41
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -16.18%E -5.62%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.53%EV -1.40%E -0.642%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -14.02%E -4.18%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 15:41
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -16.18%E -5.62%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.53%EV -1.40%E -0.642%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -14.02%E -4.18%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -16.18%E -5.62%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.53%EV -1.40%E -0.642%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -14.02%E -4.18%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -16.18%E -5.62%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.53%EV -1.40%E -0.642%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -14.02%E -4.18%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 15:41
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -16.18%E -5.62%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.53%EV -1.40%E -0.642%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -14.02%E -4.18%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 15:41
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -18.51%E -6.61%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.67%EV -4.11%E -1.94%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 15:41
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -19.96%E -7.26%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -16.59%E -5.10%K -7.37%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-09 15:41
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -19.96%E -7.26%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -16.59%E -5.10%K -7.37%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-09 15:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.70%EV -21.42%E -7.93%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 41.55%EV -6.83%E -3.31%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -17.87%E -5.58%K -8.12%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-09 15:40
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.02%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-09-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.02%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-09-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.02%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-09-09 15:50
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.83%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-09-09 15:50
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%3.0%2026-09-09 15:41