Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Al-Kholood v Al-Qadsiah

2026-10-09 13:50 UTC — Saudi Pro League

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Al-Kholood (Local)

Prediction 16.40%6.10fair odd
EV +6.61%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.079%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.17%16.40%16.29%17.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.665.806.5020.41%17.68%17.24%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Al-Qadsiah (Visit)

Prediction 63.83%1.57fair odd
EV -6.80%
Edge -4.66%
Kelly -14.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.98%63.83%63.81%66.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.401.4673.53%71.00%71.43%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.76%5.06fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -0.983%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.28%19.76%19.90%21.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.364.304.8223.81%22.96%23.26%20.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Al-Kholood (Local): 16.40%; Al-Qadsiah (Visit): 63.83%; Draw: 19.76%. For Al-Kholood (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.10. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.50, producing a positive expected value of +6.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +6.61%E +1.02%K +1.20%G +0.079%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.24%EV -11.27%E -8.11%K -28.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -7.11%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-02 16:25
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -1.59%E -0.265%K -0.319%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.08%E -5.61%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -11.06%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-02 19:00
Unibet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -1.59%E -0.265%K -0.319%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -9.35%E -6.59%K -22.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -15.02%E -3.49%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-02 16:24
Grosvenor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -1.59%E -0.265%K -0.319%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -9.35%E -6.59%K -22.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -15.02%E -3.49%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-02 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -1.59%E -0.265%K -0.319%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -9.35%E -6.59%K -22.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -15.02%E -3.49%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-02 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -1.59%E -0.265%K -0.319%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -9.35%E -6.59%K -22.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -15.02%E -3.49%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-02 16:24
ATG (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -1.59%E -0.265%K -0.319%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -9.35%E -6.59%K -22.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -15.02%E -3.49%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-02 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -1.59%E -0.265%K -0.319%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -9.35%E -6.59%K -22.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -15.02%E -3.49%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-02 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.37%EV -4.87%E -0.840%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.66%EV -10.63%E -7.59%K -26.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -16.00%E -3.77%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-02 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.37%EV -4.87%E -0.840%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.66%EV -10.63%E -7.59%K -26.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -16.00%E -3.77%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-02 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -4.87%E -0.840%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -10.63%E -7.59%K -26.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.17%EV -16.99%E -4.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-02 16:24
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -5.69%E -0.990%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.28%EV -9.35%E -6.59%K -22.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -9.09%E -1.98%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-02 16:25
Pinnacle🎯5.44I 18.38%NM 17.08%EV -10.78%E -1.98%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.64%EV -6.80%E -4.66%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.28%EV -4.74%E -0.983%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-02 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -11.43%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.58%EV -11.91%E -8.63%K -31.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.17%EV -14.03%E -3.22%K -4.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-02 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%EV -16.35%E -3.21%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.23%EV -11.27%E -8.11%K -28.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -11.06%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-02 16:25
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -17.99%E -3.60%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -10.63%E -7.59%K -26.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -16.99%E -4.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-02 17:14
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -17.99%E -3.60%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -10.63%E -7.59%K -26.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -16.99%E -4.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-02 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -17.99%E -3.60%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -10.63%E -7.59%K -26.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -16.99%E -4.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-02 17:15
Winamax (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.33%EV -19.63%E -4.01%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 62.45%EV -13.18%E -9.69%K -36.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.22%EV -16.99%E -4.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%17.7%2026-10-02 16:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎5.26I 19.01%NM 16.83%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.70%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.46%12.9%2026-10-02 18:40
Smarkets◎5.10I 19.61%NM 16.76%1.37I 72.99%NM 62.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.85%17.0%2026-10-02 18:55