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Al-Kholood v Al-Khaleej

2026-11-05 13:25 UTC — Saudi Pro League

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Al-Kholood (Local)

Prediction 45.26%2.21fair odd
EV -7.22%
Edge -3.52%
Kelly -6.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.42%45.26%45.07%46.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.992.002.0555.56%50.32%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Al-Khaleej (Visit)

Prediction 27.85%3.59fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.03%27.85%28.03%29.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.193.203.4434.48%31.33%31.25%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.89%3.72fair odd
EV -5.87%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.13%26.89%26.90%27.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.353.403.5031.25%29.84%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Al-Kholood (Local): 45.26%; Al-Khaleej (Visit): 27.85%; Draw: 26.89%. For Al-Khaleej (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.44, with an expected value of -4.21%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.22%E -3.52%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.19%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.19%EV -7.48%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-29 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.22%E -3.52%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-29 18:20
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.69%EV -7.67%E -3.76%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-29 13:40
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.69%EV -7.67%E -3.76%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-29 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.69%EV -7.67%E -3.76%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-29 13:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.69%EV -7.67%E -3.76%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-29 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.69%EV -7.67%E -3.76%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-29 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.69%EV -7.67%E -3.76%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-29 13:40
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.83%EV -8.12%E -4.00%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.20%EV -4.77%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-29 18:45
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-29 18:20
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-29 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.25%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-29 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.25%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-29 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.79%EV -10.84%E -5.50%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -11.25%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-29 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.89%EV -11.29%E -5.76%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -15.07%E -4.94%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -9.90%E -2.96%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-29 18:25
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.74%E -6.02%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-29 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.18%EV -12.20%E -6.29%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.09%EV -13.12%E -4.21%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.72%EV -11.79%E -3.59%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-29 18:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 44.64%EV -13.10%E -6.82%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.46%E -5.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79%EV -13.94%E -4.36%K -6.34%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-29 13:40
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -13.55%E -7.10%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -13.94%E -4.36%K -6.34%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-29 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 44.47%EV -14.01%E -7.37%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.13%EV -19.25%E -6.64%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.40%EV -13.94%E -4.36%K -6.34%G +0.000%18.4%2026-10-29 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 46.45%EV -18.53%E -10.30%K -23.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.42%EV -15.07%E -4.94%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.13%EV -13.94%E -4.36%K -6.34%G +0.000%19.6%2026-10-29 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 44.20%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.58%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.22%16.6%2026-10-29 18:20
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 39.62%1.69I 59.17%NM 30.01%1.67I 59.88%NM 30.37%97.2%2026-10-29 18:20