The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Al-Kholood v Al-Ettifaq

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 15:04 UTC

Final: Al-Kholood 0–3 Al-Ettifaq

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Al-Kholood (Local)

Prediction 38.98%2.57fair odd
EV -0.222%
Edge -0.087%
Kelly -0.142%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.26%38.87%39.00%40.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.382.382.5647.62%42.06%41.93%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Al-Ettifaq (Visit)

Prediction 34.81%2.87fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.76%34.89%34.87%36.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.552.502.7742.02%39.16%40.00%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.22%3.81fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -0.959%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.58%26.24%26.12%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.373.303.6831.75%29.69%30.30%27.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Kholood (Local): 38.98%; Al-Ettifaq (Visit): 34.81%; Draw: 26.22%. For Al-Kholood (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.56, with an expected value of -0.222%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.46%EV -0.222%E -0.087%K -0.142%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.05%EV -7.41%E -2.78%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.49%EV -5.10%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 15:00
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.98%E -5.19%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -13.49%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 15:01
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.98%E -5.19%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -13.49%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 15:01
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.98%E -5.19%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -13.49%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 15:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.98%E -5.19%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -13.49%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 15:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.98%E -5.19%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -13.49%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 15:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.98%E -5.19%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -13.49%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 15:00
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -12.98%E -5.19%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 14:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -14.72%E -6.01%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -14.80%E -4.55%K -6.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -14.72%E -6.01%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -14.80%E -4.55%K -6.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.50%EV -5.29%E -2.18%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.20%EV -14.72%E -6.01%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -14.80%E -4.55%K -6.58%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-24 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.02%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 12:35
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -6.85%E -2.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.34%EV -3.58%E -1.29%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.85%EV -3.53%E -0.959%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 15:01
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.50%E -3.65%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-24 12:41
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -12.98%E -5.19%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-24 12:01
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.41%E -3.58%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.76%E -2.93%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.58%EV -8.41%E -3.58%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.12%EV -17.15%E -7.21%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.29%EV -17.42%E -5.53%K -8.10%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-24 15:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -10.36%E -4.50%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -9.50%E -3.65%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -6.94%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -10.36%E -4.50%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -8.45%E -3.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-24 14:55
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.36%E -4.50%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -8.80%E -3.36%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-24 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.93%EV -10.36%E -4.50%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -11.24%E -4.41%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -9.56%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-24 12:35
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -10.36%E -4.50%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -12.98%E -5.19%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -14.80%E -4.55%K -6.58%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-24 14:50
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -10.36%E -4.50%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -12.98%E -5.19%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -14.80%E -4.55%K -6.58%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-24 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -10.36%E -4.50%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -12.98%E -5.19%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -14.80%E -4.55%K -6.58%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-24 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -10.36%E -4.50%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -12.98%E -5.19%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -14.80%E -4.55%K -6.58%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-24 14:50
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -14.25%E -6.48%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -12.98%E -5.19%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -13.49%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-24 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.27%EV -15.03%E -6.90%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.76%EV -9.50%E -3.65%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.97%EV -11.39%E -3.37%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-24 14:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.22%EV -18.15%E -8.64%K -16.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.79%EV -12.98%E -5.19%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.99%EV -14.80%E -4.55%K -6.58%G +0.000%18.4%2026-10-24 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.63%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-10-24 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.26%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.35%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38%1.1%2026-10-24 15:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.12%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.23%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-10-24 15:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.12%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.23%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-10-24 15:01
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.11%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.91%1.8%2026-10-24 15:01

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