Language:English
Al-Khaleej v Neom
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Khaleej (Local)
Prediction 41.77%2.39fair odd
EV +1.51%
Edge +0.623%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.94%41.68%41.57%42.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.202.4347.62%44.78%45.45%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Neom (Visit)
Prediction 32.02%3.12fair odd
EV -5.54%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -2.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.61%31.94%32.22%34.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.742.752.9538.46%36.55%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.21%3.82fair odd
EV -5.13%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%26.37%26.21%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.393.453.6233.33%29.46%28.99%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Khaleej (Local): 41.77%; Neom (Visit): 32.02%; Draw: 26.21%. For Al-Khaleej (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.51%.
Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.90%EV +1.51%E +0.623%K +1.06%G +0.016% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.32%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.78%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.83%E -0.778%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -15.15%E -5.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.59%E -2.78%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.83%E -0.778%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -15.15%E -5.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.59%E -2.78%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.83%E -0.778%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -15.15%E -5.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.59%E -2.78%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.83%E -0.778%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -15.15%E -5.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.59%E -2.78%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.83%E -0.778%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -15.15%E -5.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.59%E -2.78%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -1.83%E -0.778%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -15.15%E -5.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.59%E -2.78%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -2.66%E -1.14%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -15.15%E -5.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.90%E -3.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.10%EV -4.75%E -2.08%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -16.75%E -6.44%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -12.21%E -3.64%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.10%EV -4.75%E -2.08%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -16.75%E -6.44%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -12.21%E -3.64%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.01%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -7.79%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.28%E -2.37%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -6.97%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -14.83%E -4.56%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -14.83%E -4.56%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -14.83%E -4.56%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -14.83%E -4.56%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -10.18%E -4.74%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.28%E -2.37%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -10.18%E -4.74%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -9.59%E -2.78%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 41.89%EV -11.02%E -5.17%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.90%E -3.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -12.27%E -5.84%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.28%E -2.37%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 18:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -12.27%E -5.84%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.57%EV -9.39%E -3.32%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89%EV -9.59%E -2.78%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.27%E -5.84%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.90%E -3.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.92%EV -12.27%E -5.84%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.05%EV -16.75%E -6.44%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.04%EV -13.52%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -12.27%E -5.84%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -21.38%E -7.13%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.31% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.63% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |