Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Khaleej v Al-Nassr

Inizio: 2026-09-12 18:00 UTC

Finale: Al-Khaleej 1–1 Al-Nassr

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

26 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Khaleej (Casa)

Previsione 11.19%8.94quota equa
EV +12.99%
Vantaggio +1.29%
Kelly +1.43%
Crescita +0.185%

ipotizzando la quota massima 10.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.19%11.08%11.13%12.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.258.408.5010.1013.79%11.91%11.76%9.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Al-Nassr (Trasferta)

Previsione 71.37%1.40quota equa
EV -5.08%
Vantaggio -3.82%
Kelly -15.38%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.45%71.64%71.32%73.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.191.261.261.3384.03%79.15%79.37%75.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 17.44%5.73quota equa
EV +4.47%
Vantaggio +0.747%
Kelly +0.896%
Crescita +0.040%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.99

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.78%17.28%17.55%18.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.955.225.225.9920.20%19.17%19.14%16.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Al-Khaleej (Casa): 11.19%; Al-Nassr (Trasferta): 71.37%; Pareggio: 17.44%. Per Al-Khaleej (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 8.94. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 10.10, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +12.99%.

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV +12.99%E +1.29%K +1.43%G +0.185%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.67%EV -5.79%E -4.39%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.83%EV -6.17%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 17:56
Tipico (DE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV +11.87%E +1.19%K +1.32%G +0.157%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -10.79%E -8.63%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -7.56%E -1.43%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 17:50
Coral🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.686%E +0.076%K +0.086%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.96%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -4.07%E -0.741%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 17:55
betfred_uk🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +0.686%E +0.076%K +0.086%G +0.001%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -7.93%E -6.15%K -27.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 17:50
Pinnacle🎯8.63I 11.59%NM 10.95%EV -3.45%E -0.400%K -0.453%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.27%EV -7.93%E -6.15%K -27.35%G +0.000%5.99I 16.69%NM 15.78%EV +4.47%E +0.747%K +0.896%G +0.040%5.8%2026-09-12 17:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -4.91%E -0.577%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.43%E -1.61%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -4.91%E -0.577%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -7.22%E -5.55%K -24.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -8.43%E -1.61%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 17:50
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -4.91%E -0.577%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -10.07%E -7.99%K -38.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.56%E -1.43%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -4.91%E -0.577%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -10.07%E -7.99%K -38.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.56%E -1.43%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -4.91%E -0.577%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -10.07%E -7.99%K -38.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.56%E -1.43%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 17:45
Grosvenor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -4.91%E -0.577%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -10.07%E -7.99%K -38.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.56%E -1.43%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -4.91%E -0.577%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -10.07%E -7.99%K -38.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.56%E -1.43%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -4.91%E -0.577%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -10.07%E -7.99%K -38.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.56%E -1.43%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -4.91%E -0.577%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.24%EV -11.50%E -9.27%K -47.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -9.31%E -1.79%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -4.91%E -0.577%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.24%EV -11.50%E -9.27%K -47.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -9.31%E -1.79%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -4.91%E -0.577%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.40%EV -12.21%E -9.93%K -53.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -9.31%E -1.79%K -2.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 17:45
PMU (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.16%EV -4.91%E -0.577%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 72.57%EV -15.07%E -12.66%K -79.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.27%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-12 17:45
888sport🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -10.50%E -1.31%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.79%E -8.63%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-12 17:25
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -10.50%E -1.31%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.79%E -8.63%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-12 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -10.50%E -1.31%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.79%E -8.63%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-12 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -10.50%E -1.31%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.79%E -8.63%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-12 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.30%EV -13.30%E -1.72%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 71.19%EV -12.21%E -9.93%K -53.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.51%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-12 17:49
Unibet (FR)🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 11.54%EV -14.98%E -1.97%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 70.74%EV -11.50%E -9.27%K -47.91%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.72%EV -13.67%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-12 17:49
Winamax (DE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -16.10%E -2.15%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.88%EV -7.93%E -6.15%K -27.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.93%EV -5.82%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 17:50
BoyleSports🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -16.10%E -2.15%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -10.79%E -8.63%K -43.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 17:45
Winamax (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.34%EV -18.89%E -2.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.45%EV -9.36%E -7.37%K -34.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.21%EV -9.31%E -1.79%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 17:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎11.50I 8.70%NM 8.69%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.70%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.61%0.1%2026-09-12 17:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.40%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55%0.5%2026-09-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.40%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55%0.5%2026-09-12 17:36
Kalshi◎11.11I 9.00%NM 8.92%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.22%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.86%0.9%2026-09-12 17:56
Smarkets◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.02%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-09-12 17:56