Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Al-Khaleej v Al-Najma

Kickoff: 2026-04-28 18:00 UTC

Final: Al-Khaleej 3–1 Al-Najma

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Al-Khaleej (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -67.57%
Kelly -208.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.07%0.00%0.00%62.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.461.481.4870.42%68.32%67.57%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Al-Najma (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -18.52%
Kelly -22.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.91%0.00%0.00%17.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.205.355.405.4019.23%18.68%18.52%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -22.73%
Kelly -29.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.89%0.00%0.00%20.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.354.404.4023.81%23.01%22.73%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Khaleej (Local): 0.00%; Al-Najma (Visit): 0.00%; Draw: 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%8.8%2026-04-21 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%8.8%2026-04-21 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%8.8%2026-04-21 18:25
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%8.8%2026-04-21 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%8.8%2026-04-21 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%8.8%2026-04-21 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.11%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%9.5%2026-04-21 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.11%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%9.5%2026-04-21 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.16%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.93%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.91%12.5%2026-04-21 18:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.16%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.93%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.91%12.5%2026-04-21 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.07%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.98%13.5%2026-04-21 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.