The School of Odds
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Al-Khaleej v Al-Kholood

Kickoff: 2026-02-24 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Al-Khaleej (Local)

Prediction 44.59%2.24fair odd
EV -4.57%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -4.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.35%44.54%44.51%46.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.012.002.1452.08%49.65%50.00%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Al-Kholood (Visit)

Prediction 29.30%3.41fair odd
EV +3.13%
Edge +0.889%
Kelly +1.24%
Growth +0.039%

assuming max odds 3.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.34%29.26%29.39%30.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.173.243.5234.72%31.56%30.86%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.11%3.83fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -0.920%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.64%26.19%26.09%28.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.433.453.7033.33%29.13%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Khaleej (Local): 44.59%; Al-Kholood (Visit): 29.30%; Draw: 26.11%. For Al-Kholood (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -4.57%E -2.13%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.52%EV +3.13%E +0.889%K +1.24%G +0.039%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.21%EV -7.06%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-24 18:50
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -11.70%E -5.91%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -1.85%E -0.553%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-24 18:35
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -12.15%E -6.17%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -1.85%E -0.553%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-24 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -12.15%E -6.17%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -1.85%E -0.553%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-24 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -12.15%E -6.17%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -1.85%E -0.553%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-24 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -12.15%E -6.17%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -1.85%E -0.553%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-24 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -12.15%E -6.17%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -1.85%E -0.553%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-24 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-24 18:19
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -13.04%E -6.69%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-24 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -13.04%E -6.69%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-24 18:35
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.35%E -3.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -3.40%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-24 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.35%E -3.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.39%EV -14.38%E -7.49%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -11.24%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-24 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.39%EV -14.38%E -7.49%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -11.24%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-24 18:35
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51%EV -4.57%E -2.13%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV -5.07%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -7.24%E -3.48%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-24 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.71%EV -13.04%E -6.69%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.30%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.99%EV -10.45%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-24 18:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.11%EV -11.70%E -5.91%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.63%EV -8.59%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.24%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-24 18:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -8.58%E -4.19%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-24 17:25
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.58%E -4.19%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.24%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-24 18:45
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-24 18:55
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.58%E -4.19%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.11%E -4.04%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.24%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-24 18:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -12.11%E -4.04%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-24 17:25
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -8.58%E -4.19%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -15.04%E -5.18%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -15.15%E -4.66%K -6.73%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-24 18:45
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -8.58%E -4.19%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -15.04%E -5.18%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -15.15%E -4.66%K -6.73%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-24 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -8.58%E -4.19%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -15.04%E -5.18%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -15.15%E -4.66%K -6.73%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-24 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -8.58%E -4.19%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -15.04%E -5.18%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -15.15%E -4.66%K -6.73%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-24 18:45
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -15.62%E -5.42%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -11.24%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-24 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -15.62%E -5.42%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -21.68%E -7.23%K -10.84%G +0.000%18.1%2026-02-24 11:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.5%2026-02-24 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.5%2026-02-24 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.83%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15%2.0%2026-02-24 18:55
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%2.7%2026-02-24 18:55