The School of Odds
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Al-Khaleej v Al-Hazem

Kickoff: 2026-10-29 14:37 UTC

Final: Al-Khaleej 4–2 Al-Hazem

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Al-Khaleej (Local)

Prediction 46.79%2.14fair odd
EV -0.800%
Edge -0.377%
Kelly -0.714%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.91%47.06%46.92%49.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.981.962.1255.87%50.46%51.02%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Al-Hazem (Visit)

Prediction 26.97%3.71fair odd
EV -0.226%
Edge -0.061%
Kelly -0.084%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.69%26.71%26.76%29.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.293.303.7034.48%30.40%30.30%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.24%3.81fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.38%26.23%26.32%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.373.303.6732.26%29.64%30.30%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Khaleej (Local): 46.79%; Al-Hazem (Visit): 26.97%; Draw: 26.24%. For Al-Hazem (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -0.226%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99%EV -0.800%E -0.377%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -16.41%E -5.29%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-29 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99%EV -0.800%E -0.377%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -16.41%E -5.29%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-29 14:25
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99%EV -0.800%E -0.377%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -16.41%E -5.29%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-29 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99%EV -0.800%E -0.377%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -16.41%E -5.29%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-29 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99%EV -0.800%E -0.377%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -16.41%E -5.29%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-29 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99%EV -0.800%E -0.377%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -16.41%E -5.29%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-29 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -3.14%E -1.52%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -17.75%E -5.82%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -14.71%E -4.53%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-29 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -3.14%E -1.52%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -17.75%E -5.82%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -14.71%E -4.53%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-29 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.91%EV -3.61%E -1.75%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -19.10%E -6.37%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -16.03%E -5.01%K -7.28%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-29 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-29 13:29
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.22%EV -5.48%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -2.92%E -0.812%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.28%EV -4.74%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-29 14:30
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.92%EV -0.226%E -0.061%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.13%EV -3.69%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-29 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.62%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-29 13:50
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.62%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-29 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 43.20%EV -7.82%E -3.97%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.35%EV -21.80%E -7.52%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.45%EV -18.65%E -6.02%K -8.88%G +0.000%17.5%2026-10-29 14:25
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.62%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-29 14:30
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-29 12:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -9.22%E -4.75%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -6.84%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-29 13:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.57%EV -10.16%E -5.29%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.36%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -9.47%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-29 13:40
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.63%E -5.56%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -5.62%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-29 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.63%E -5.56%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -5.62%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-29 14:30
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.63%E -5.56%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.40%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-29 14:28
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -10.63%E -5.56%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.71%E -4.53%K -6.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-29 14:25
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -10.63%E -5.56%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.71%E -4.53%K -6.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-29 14:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -10.63%E -5.56%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.71%E -4.53%K -6.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-29 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -10.63%E -5.56%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.71%E -4.53%K -6.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-29 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.99%EV -12.50%E -6.68%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.39%EV -12.62%E -3.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-29 14:09
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.85%EV -12.50%E -6.68%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -13.71%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-29 13:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -14.37%E -7.85%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -0.226%E -0.061%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-29 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 47.00%EV -16.24%E -9.07%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.71%EV -15.06%E -4.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.29%EV -16.03%E -5.01%K -7.28%G +0.000%18.9%2026-10-29 14:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-10-29 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-10-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-10-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-10-29 14:30
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-10-29 14:30

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